Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key factor shaping trader sentiment, with the flagship model still unreleased as of mid-August 2026 despite a May I/O announcement promising a June rollout. Internal performance shortfalls have pushed testing with partners only, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.7 Flash shipped recently to support agentic workflows. Competitive pressure from faster releases by other labs and the start of Gemini 4 training add uncertainty around timelines. Traders are watching for official confirmation of a 3.5 Pro preview or general availability, any earnings commentary, or further deprecation signals on current 3.x Pro models that could accelerate or further stall the next major update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,068,196 交易量
2026-08-14
8月21日
3%
8 月 31 日
17%
$1,068,196 交易量
8月21日
$116,447 交易量
3%
8 月 31 日
$270,211 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key factor shaping trader sentiment, with the flagship model still unreleased as of mid-August 2026 despite a May I/O announcement promising a June rollout. Internal performance shortfalls have pushed testing with partners only, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.7 Flash shipped recently to support agentic workflows. Competitive pressure from faster releases by other labs and the start of Gemini 4 training add uncertainty around timelines. Traders are watching for official confirmation of a 3.5 Pro preview or general availability, any earnings commentary, or further deprecation signals on current 3.x Pro models that could accelerate or further stall the next major update.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
交易量
$1,068,196结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key factor shaping trader sentiment, with the flagship model still unreleased as of mid-August 2026 despite a May I/O announcement promising a June rollout. Internal performance shortfalls have pushed testing with partners only, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.7 Flash shipped recently to support agentic workflows. Competitive pressure from faster releases by other labs and the start of Gemini 4 training add uncertainty around timelines. Traders are watching for official confirmation of a 3.5 Pro preview or general availability, any earnings commentary, or further deprecation signals on current 3.x Pro models that could accelerate or further stall the next major update.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,068,196结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key factor shaping trader sentiment, with the flagship model still unreleased as of mid-August 2026 despite a May I/O announcement promising a June rollout. Internal performance shortfalls have pushed testing with partners only, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.7 Flash shipped recently to support agentic workflows. Competitive pressure from faster releases by other labs and the start of Gemini 4 training add uncertainty around timelines. Traders are watching for official confirmation of a 3.5 Pro preview or general availability, any earnings commentary, or further deprecation signals on current 3.x Pro models that could accelerate or further stall the next major update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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