Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader focus, having missed its June 2026 target after I/O teasing and further slipping amid internal coding shortfalls and partner testing as of July. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier releases has pressured Google to prioritize rapid Flash iterations—Gemini 3.6 and 3.7 Flash shipped in July and August—while CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed pre-training on the more ambitious Gemini 4. With no firm Pro timeline and ongoing emphasis on efficient agentic and coding capabilities, market sentiment centers on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or if Google accelerates toward a Gemini 4 Pro variant amid monthly release cadence expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,171,407 交易量
2026-10-31
8 月 31 日
2%
September 15
8%
September 30
27%
October 31
73%
$1,171,407 交易量
8 月 31 日
$333,617 交易量
2%
September 15
$5,700 交易量
8%
September 30
$18,650 交易量
27%
October 31
$4,548 交易量
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader focus, having missed its June 2026 target after I/O teasing and further slipping amid internal coding shortfalls and partner testing as of July. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier releases has pressured Google to prioritize rapid Flash iterations—Gemini 3.6 and 3.7 Flash shipped in July and August—while CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed pre-training on the more ambitious Gemini 4. With no firm Pro timeline and ongoing emphasis on efficient agentic and coding capabilities, market sentiment centers on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or if Google accelerates toward a Gemini 4 Pro variant amid monthly release cadence expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
交易量
$1,171,407结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader focus, having missed its June 2026 target after I/O teasing and further slipping amid internal coding shortfalls and partner testing as of July. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier releases has pressured Google to prioritize rapid Flash iterations—Gemini 3.6 and 3.7 Flash shipped in July and August—while CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed pre-training on the more ambitious Gemini 4. With no firm Pro timeline and ongoing emphasis on efficient agentic and coding capabilities, market sentiment centers on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or if Google accelerates toward a Gemini 4 Pro variant amid monthly release cadence expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,171,407结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETGoogle's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader focus, having missed its June 2026 target after I/O teasing and further slipping amid internal coding shortfalls and partner testing as of July. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier releases has pressured Google to prioritize rapid Flash iterations—Gemini 3.6 and 3.7 Flash shipped in July and August—while CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed pre-training on the more ambitious Gemini 4. With no firm Pro timeline and ongoing emphasis on efficient agentic and coding capabilities, market sentiment centers on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or if Google accelerates toward a Gemini 4 Pro variant amid monthly release cadence expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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