Recent breakthroughs by frontier AI systems have driven strong trader consensus that another genuinely open research problem on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark will be solved soon. OpenAI’s Astra model delivered ten verified advances on long-standing questions in August 2026, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 produced a counterexample to the Jacobian conjecture and contributed to solutions such as the Hadamard matrix of order 668. Google’s Aletheia agent and GPT-5.6 variants now lead private leaderboards on Tier 4 and open-problem sets, with multiple independent AI-led resolutions already confirmed since the benchmark’s pilot launch. Competitive pressure among labs, rapid scaling of reasoning scaffolds, and expanding verified problem catalogs keep the probability elevated through year-end, though exact timing remains sensitive to new model releases and verification standards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-15
9月15日
45%
9月30日
62%
$40 交易量
9月15日
$0 交易量
45%
9月30日
$40 交易量
62%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.Recent breakthroughs by frontier AI systems have driven strong trader consensus that another genuinely open research problem on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark will be solved soon. OpenAI’s Astra model delivered ten verified advances on long-standing questions in August 2026, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 produced a counterexample to the Jacobian conjecture and contributed to solutions such as the Hadamard matrix of order 668. Google’s Aletheia agent and GPT-5.6 variants now lead private leaderboards on Tier 4 and open-problem sets, with multiple independent AI-led resolutions already confirmed since the benchmark’s pilot launch. Competitive pressure among labs, rapid scaling of reasoning scaffolds, and expanding verified problem catalogs keep the probability elevated through year-end, though exact timing remains sensitive to new model releases and verification standards.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
交易量
$40结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.Recent breakthroughs by frontier AI systems have driven strong trader consensus that another genuinely open research problem on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark will be solved soon. OpenAI’s Astra model delivered ten verified advances on long-standing questions in August 2026, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 produced a counterexample to the Jacobian conjecture and contributed to solutions such as the Hadamard matrix of order 668. Google’s Aletheia agent and GPT-5.6 variants now lead private leaderboards on Tier 4 and open-problem sets, with multiple independent AI-led resolutions already confirmed since the benchmark’s pilot launch. Competitive pressure among labs, rapid scaling of reasoning scaffolds, and expanding verified problem catalogs keep the probability elevated through year-end, though exact timing remains sensitive to new model releases and verification standards.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
交易量
$40结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETRecent breakthroughs by frontier AI systems have driven strong trader consensus that another genuinely open research problem on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark will be solved soon. OpenAI’s Astra model delivered ten verified advances on long-standing questions in August 2026, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 produced a counterexample to the Jacobian conjecture and contributed to solutions such as the Hadamard matrix of order 668. Google’s Aletheia agent and GPT-5.6 variants now lead private leaderboards on Tier 4 and open-problem sets, with multiple independent AI-led resolutions already confirmed since the benchmark’s pilot launch. Competitive pressure among labs, rapid scaling of reasoning scaffolds, and expanding verified problem catalogs keep the probability elevated through year-end, though exact timing remains sensitive to new model releases and verification standards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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