Recent releases of GPT-5.6 variants have driven FrontierMath scores sharply higher, with the leading model reaching 89% on the legacy snapshot by August 2026 after v2 corrections in June. This rapid climb from single-digit and low-30s performance earlier in the year reflects scaling improvements in large language model reasoning, tool use, and training on advanced mathematical domains. Traders assign 90% implied probability to a model crossing 90% before 2027 because the trajectory suggests the threshold is reachable within months rather than years, though any final push could hinge on the next flagship release or refined scaffolding.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
90% 概率
$117,495 交易量
$117,495 交易量
2026-12-30
是
90% 概率
$117,495 交易量
$117,495 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent releases of GPT-5.6 variants have driven FrontierMath scores sharply higher, with the leading model reaching 89% on the legacy snapshot by August 2026 after v2 corrections in June. This rapid climb from single-digit and low-30s performance earlier in the year reflects scaling improvements in large language model reasoning, tool use, and training on advanced mathematical domains. Traders assign 90% implied probability to a model crossing 90% before 2027 because the trajectory suggests the threshold is reachable within months rather than years, though any final push could hinge on the next flagship release or refined scaffolding.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 5:15 PM ET
交易量
$117,495结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent releases of GPT-5.6 variants have driven FrontierMath scores sharply higher, with the leading model reaching 89% on the legacy snapshot by August 2026 after v2 corrections in June. This rapid climb from single-digit and low-30s performance earlier in the year reflects scaling improvements in large language model reasoning, tool use, and training on advanced mathematical domains. Traders assign 90% implied probability to a model crossing 90% before 2027 because the trajectory suggests the threshold is reachable within months rather than years, though any final push could hinge on the next flagship release or refined scaffolding.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$117,495结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases of GPT-5.6 variants have driven FrontierMath scores sharply higher, with the leading model reaching 89% on the legacy snapshot by August 2026 after v2 corrections in June. This rapid climb from single-digit and low-30s performance earlier in the year reflects scaling improvements in large language model reasoning, tool use, and training on advanced mathematical domains. Traders assign 90% implied probability to a model crossing 90% before 2027 because the trajectory suggests the threshold is reachable within months rather than years, though any final push could hinge on the next flagship release or refined scaffolding.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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