Alibaba's Qwen models have driven the 67% implied probability for third place through consistent high scores on agentic coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro and Terminal-Bench, alongside recent releases emphasizing frontend web development capabilities that align directly with Code Arena WebDev tasks. Moonshot's Kimi K3 briefly led the arena leaderboard in July 2026 as the first Chinese model to top frontend evaluations, creating a competitive cluster where traders see Alibaba slotting behind one or two frontrunners. DeepSeek and other labs trail with lower odds, reflecting slower momentum in recent web-specific agentic workflows. With resolution tied to end-of-August arena standings, ongoing model updates and live voting trends remain key swing factors in this narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿里巴巴 66.4%
Moonshot 22.3%
Z.ai 6.8%
Meta 2.9%
$46,091 交易量
$46,091 交易量
2026-08-31
阿里巴巴
66%
Moonshot
22%
Z.ai
7%
Meta
3%
OpenAI
3%
谷歌
2%
DeepSeek
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
Anthropic
1%
字节跳动
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
小米
<1%
Thinky
<1%
腾讯
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
阿里巴巴 66.4%
Moonshot 22.3%
Z.ai 6.8%
Meta 2.9%
$46,091 交易量
$46,091 交易量
2026-08-31
阿里巴巴
$11,130 交易量
66%
Moonshot
$5,603 交易量
22%
Z.ai
$3,428 交易量
7%
Meta
$1,156 交易量
3%
OpenAI
$15,326 交易量
3%
谷歌
$1,258 交易量
2%
DeepSeek
$1,262 交易量
2%
SpaceXAI
$2,081 交易量
1%
Anthropic
$1,024 交易量
1%
字节跳动
$751 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$463 交易量
<1%
小米
$421 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$535 交易量
<1%
腾讯
$490 交易量
<1%
Poolside
$452 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$711 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba's Qwen models have driven the 67% implied probability for third place through consistent high scores on agentic coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro and Terminal-Bench, alongside recent releases emphasizing frontend web development capabilities that align directly with Code Arena WebDev tasks. Moonshot's Kimi K3 briefly led the arena leaderboard in July 2026 as the first Chinese model to top frontend evaluations, creating a competitive cluster where traders see Alibaba slotting behind one or two frontrunners. DeepSeek and other labs trail with lower odds, reflecting slower momentum in recent web-specific agentic workflows. With resolution tied to end-of-August arena standings, ongoing model updates and live voting trends remain key swing factors in this narrow window.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$46,091结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba's Qwen models have driven the 67% implied probability for third place through consistent high scores on agentic coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro and Terminal-Bench, alongside recent releases emphasizing frontend web development capabilities that align directly with Code Arena WebDev tasks. Moonshot's Kimi K3 briefly led the arena leaderboard in July 2026 as the first Chinese model to top frontend evaluations, creating a competitive cluster where traders see Alibaba slotting behind one or two frontrunners. DeepSeek and other labs trail with lower odds, reflecting slower momentum in recent web-specific agentic workflows. With resolution tied to end-of-August arena standings, ongoing model updates and live voting trends remain key swing factors in this narrow window.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$46,091结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETAlibaba's Qwen models have driven the 67% implied probability for third place through consistent high scores on agentic coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro and Terminal-Bench, alongside recent releases emphasizing frontend web development capabilities that align directly with Code Arena WebDev tasks. Moonshot's Kimi K3 briefly led the arena leaderboard in July 2026 as the first Chinese model to top frontend evaluations, creating a competitive cluster where traders see Alibaba slotting behind one or two frontrunners. DeepSeek and other labs trail with lower odds, reflecting slower momentum in recent web-specific agentic workflows. With resolution tied to end-of-August arena standings, ongoing model updates and live voting trends remain key swing factors in this narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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