Stalled progress toward a Ukraine settlement since the August 2025 Alaska summit has produced the clearest driver of current pricing, with traders assigning a 61.5 percent probability to no further Trump-Putin bilateral meeting by year-end. Strained bilateral ties, renewed escalation in the conflict, and the absence of scheduled high-level engagements have reinforced that outlook. China’s 32.5 percent share reflects Beijing’s recent back-to-back hosting of both leaders in May 2026 and its emergence as a diplomatic hub where a future encounter could occur under neutral auspices. All other venues remain below 4 percent, consistent with limited momentum for alternative locations and the structural barriers to rapid re-engagement on the core dispute.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面？
2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面？
截至12月31日不见面 62%
China 33%
United States 3.7%
Gulf country <1%
$493,841 交易量
$493,841 交易量
2026-12-31
截至12月31日不见面
62%
China
33%
United States
4%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
Turkey
1%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
截至12月31日不见面 62%
China 33%
United States 3.7%
Gulf country <1%
$493,841 交易量
$493,841 交易量
2026-12-31
截至12月31日不见面
$99,465 交易量
62%
China
$62,870 交易量
33%
United States
$25,355 交易量
4%
Gulf country
$17,282 交易量
1%
Other
$18,160 交易量
1%
Other EU country
$16,060 交易量
1%
Turkey
$25,095 交易量
1%
Russia
$66,497 交易量
1%
Switzerland
$20,685 交易量
<1%
Finland
$21,461 交易量
<1%
Belarus
$19,715 交易量
<1%
South Korea
$17,474 交易量
<1%
Ukraine
$17,686 交易量
<1%
Japan
$24,772 交易量
<1%
Australia
$41,264 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stalled progress toward a Ukraine settlement since the August 2025 Alaska summit has produced the clearest driver of current pricing, with traders assigning a 61.5 percent probability to no further Trump-Putin bilateral meeting by year-end. Strained bilateral ties, renewed escalation in the conflict, and the absence of scheduled high-level engagements have reinforced that outlook. China’s 32.5 percent share reflects Beijing’s recent back-to-back hosting of both leaders in May 2026 and its emergence as a diplomatic hub where a future encounter could occur under neutral auspices. All other venues remain below 4 percent, consistent with limited momentum for alternative locations and the structural barriers to rapid re-engagement on the core dispute.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
交易量
$493,841结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stalled progress toward a Ukraine settlement since the August 2025 Alaska summit has produced the clearest driver of current pricing, with traders assigning a 61.5 percent probability to no further Trump-Putin bilateral meeting by year-end. Strained bilateral ties, renewed escalation in the conflict, and the absence of scheduled high-level engagements have reinforced that outlook. China’s 32.5 percent share reflects Beijing’s recent back-to-back hosting of both leaders in May 2026 and its emergence as a diplomatic hub where a future encounter could occur under neutral auspices. All other venues remain below 4 percent, consistent with limited momentum for alternative locations and the structural barriers to rapid re-engagement on the core dispute.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$493,841结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stalled progress toward a Ukraine settlement since the August 2025 Alaska summit has produced the clearest driver of current pricing, with traders assigning a 61.5 percent probability to no further Trump-Putin bilateral meeting by year-end. Strained bilateral ties, renewed escalation in the conflict, and the absence of scheduled high-level engagements have reinforced that outlook. China’s 32.5 percent share reflects Beijing’s recent back-to-back hosting of both leaders in May 2026 and its emergence as a diplomatic hub where a future encounter could occur under neutral auspices. All other venues remain below 4 percent, consistent with limited momentum for alternative locations and the structural barriers to rapid re-engagement on the core dispute.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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