Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey commands the strongest trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability thanks to the director’s recent Best Picture success, a star-packed ensemble, and early trailer footage signaling dominant technical and craft nominations. Dune: Messiah sits at 22.5% as the likely conclusion to a franchise with proven awards momentum in visual categories. Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day and the Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary follow at 12.0% and 10.1%, respectively, buoyed by their high-profile pedigrees and anticipated summer critical reception. With release dates clustered in the coming months, early reviews, guild tracking, and box-office performance will determine whether these frontrunners extend their leads or face late surges from competitors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?
奥德赛 48%
沙丘:弥赛亚 23%
揭露日 13%
海梅计划 10.1%
$18,010 交易量
$18,010 交易量
奥德赛
48%
沙丘:弥赛亚
23%
揭露日
13%
海梅计划
10%
呼啸山庄
4%
新娘!
1%
社会清算
1%
野马九号
<1%
奥德赛 48%
沙丘:弥赛亚 23%
揭露日 13%
海梅计划 10.1%
$18,010 交易量
$18,010 交易量
奥德赛
48%
沙丘:弥赛亚
23%
揭露日
13%
海梅计划
10%
呼啸山庄
4%
新娘!
1%
社会清算
1%
野马九号
<1%
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey commands the strongest trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability thanks to the director’s recent Best Picture success, a star-packed ensemble, and early trailer footage signaling dominant technical and craft nominations. Dune: Messiah sits at 22.5% as the likely conclusion to a franchise with proven awards momentum in visual categories. Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day and the Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary follow at 12.0% and 10.1%, respectively, buoyed by their high-profile pedigrees and anticipated summer critical reception. With release dates clustered in the coming months, early reviews, guild tracking, and box-office performance will determine whether these frontrunners extend their leads or face late surges from competitors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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