FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup as scheduled, with the team based in Mexico and group matches set for U.S. venues, directly underpinning the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no replacement. A U.S. envoy's suggestion to swap in Italy drew immediate rejections from Italian officials, who called it inappropriate, and from FIFA, which stated qualification occurs on the pitch and Iran's status remains unchanged. Recent preparations, including squad announcements and travel adjustments amid visa and geopolitical tensions, further signal continuity rather than disruption. While extreme last-minute developments such as a formal withdrawal could theoretically open spots under FIFA regulations, current official positions and lack of qualifying alternatives make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No Replacement 98.0%
Other 1.3%
Italy <1%
Bolivia <1%
$71,843 交易量
$71,843 交易量
2026-08-31
No Replacement
98%
Other
1%
Italy
1%
Bolivia
<1%
UAE
<1%
No Replacement 98.0%
Other 1.3%
Italy <1%
Bolivia <1%
$71,843 交易量
$71,843 交易量
2026-08-31
No Replacement
$25,280 交易量
98%
Other
$5,284 交易量
1%
Italy
$31,329 交易量
1%
Bolivia
$3,634 交易量
<1%
UAE
$6,316 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup as scheduled, with the team based in Mexico and group matches set for U.S. venues, directly underpinning the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no replacement. A U.S. envoy's suggestion to swap in Italy drew immediate rejections from Italian officials, who called it inappropriate, and from FIFA, which stated qualification occurs on the pitch and Iran's status remains unchanged. Recent preparations, including squad announcements and travel adjustments amid visa and geopolitical tensions, further signal continuity rather than disruption. While extreme last-minute developments such as a formal withdrawal could theoretically open spots under FIFA regulations, current official positions and lack of qualifying alternatives make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
交易量
$71,843结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup as scheduled, with the team based in Mexico and group matches set for U.S. venues, directly underpinning the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no replacement. A U.S. envoy's suggestion to swap in Italy drew immediate rejections from Italian officials, who called it inappropriate, and from FIFA, which stated qualification occurs on the pitch and Iran's status remains unchanged. Recent preparations, including squad announcements and travel adjustments amid visa and geopolitical tensions, further signal continuity rather than disruption. While extreme last-minute developments such as a formal withdrawal could theoretically open spots under FIFA regulations, current official positions and lack of qualifying alternatives make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$71,843结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup as scheduled, with the team based in Mexico and group matches set for U.S. venues, directly underpinning the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no replacement. A U.S. envoy's suggestion to swap in Italy drew immediate rejections from Italian officials, who called it inappropriate, and from FIFA, which stated qualification occurs on the pitch and Iran's status remains unchanged. Recent preparations, including squad announcements and travel adjustments amid visa and geopolitical tensions, further signal continuity rather than disruption. While extreme last-minute developments such as a formal withdrawal could theoretically open spots under FIFA regulations, current official positions and lack of qualifying alternatives make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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