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icon for Figure的F.03机器人能否在美国东部时间5月21日晚上10点之前正常运行?

Figure的F.03机器人能否在美国东部时间5月21日晚上10点之前正常运行?

icon for Figure的F.03机器人能否在美国东部时间5月21日晚上10点之前正常运行?

Figure的F.03机器人能否在美国东部时间5月21日晚上10点之前正常运行?

83% 概率
Polymarket
最新

83% 概率
Polymarket
最新
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s F.03 humanoid robots have already demonstrated more than 167 consecutive hours of fully autonomous package sorting on a live stream, powered by the company’s proprietary Helix-02 large language model for real-time perception, grasping, and error correction. This sustained run at near-human speeds, far exceeding the original eight-hour test goal, has anchored trader confidence that the fleet will complete the final stretch through May 21 without interruption. Recent production ramp-up at BotQ, now delivering one robot per hour, has expanded the test fleet while incremental hardware refinements in battery safety, sensor fusion, and tactile hands further reduce failure risk in this controlled logistics setting. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the market-implied 82.5% probability for “Yes” reflects traders’ assessment of proven endurance against the modest remaining window.

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.

If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,038
结束日期
2026-05-21
市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s F.03 humanoid robots have already demonstrated more than 167 consecutive hours of fully autonomous package sorting on a live stream, powered by the company’s proprietary Helix-02 large language model for real-time perception, grasping, and error correction. This sustained run at near-human speeds, far exceeding the original eight-hour test goal, has anchored trader confidence that the fleet will complete the final stretch through May 21 without interruption. Recent production ramp-up at BotQ, now delivering one robot per hour, has expanded the test fleet while incremental hardware refinements in battery safety, sensor fusion, and tactile hands further reduce failure risk in this controlled logistics setting. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the market-implied 82.5% probability for “Yes” reflects traders’ assessment of proven endurance against the modest remaining window.

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.

If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,038
结束日期
2026-05-21
市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Figure的F.03机器人能否在美国东部时间5月21日晚上10点之前正常运行?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Figure的F.03机器人能否在5月21日美国东部时间晚上10点之前无故障运行?",概率为 83%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 83¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 83%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Figure的F.03机器人能否在美国东部时间5月21日晚上10点之前正常运行?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 19, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Figure的F.03机器人能否在美国东部时间5月21日晚上10点之前正常运行?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Figure的F.03机器人能否在美国东部时间5月21日晚上10点之前正常运行?"的当前领先者是"Figure的F.03机器人能否在5月21日美国东部时间晚上10点之前无故障运行?",概率为 83%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 83%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Figure的F.03机器人能否在美国东部时间5月21日晚上10点之前正常运行?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。