Ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, driven by Iranian restrictions and U.S. naval enforcement measures, have kept commercial vessel transits at historic lows. Pre-conflict daily averages exceeded 100–140 ships, yet data from May show single-digit crossings on many days, with weekly totals around 18 and frequent zero-transit periods amid blockade actions, vessel interceptions, and new Iranian permitting requirements. Recent developments, including Iran's establishment of a transit authority to impose approvals and tolls plus continued U.S. redirection of vessels, sustain trader expectations that traffic will remain suppressed through the end of May. This environment positions the 0–10 category as the clear consensus outcome based on verified maritime tracking.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
0-10 87%
10-20 7%
20-40 3.0%
60+ 3.0%
$322,028 Vol.
$322,028 Vol.
May 31, 2026
0-10
87%
10-20
7%
20-40
3%
40-60
2%
60+
3%
0-10 87%
10-20 7%
20-40 3.0%
60+ 3.0%
$322,028 Vol.
$322,028 Vol.
May 31, 2026
0-10
$171,177 Vol.
87%
10-20
$43,558 Vol.
7%
20-40
$34,199 Vol.
3%
40-60
$27,619 Vol.
2%
60+
$45,476 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, driven by Iranian restrictions and U.S. naval enforcement measures, have kept commercial vessel transits at historic lows. Pre-conflict daily averages exceeded 100–140 ships, yet data from May show single-digit crossings on many days, with weekly totals around 18 and frequent zero-transit periods amid blockade actions, vessel interceptions, and new Iranian permitting requirements. Recent developments, including Iran's establishment of a transit authority to impose approvals and tolls plus continued U.S. redirection of vessels, sustain trader expectations that traffic will remain suppressed through the end of May. This environment positions the 0–10 category as the clear consensus outcome based on verified maritime tracking.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
ভলিউম
$322,028শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, driven by Iranian restrictions and U.S. naval enforcement measures, have kept commercial vessel transits at historic lows. Pre-conflict daily averages exceeded 100–140 ships, yet data from May show single-digit crossings on many days, with weekly totals around 18 and frequent zero-transit periods amid blockade actions, vessel interceptions, and new Iranian permitting requirements. Recent developments, including Iran's establishment of a transit authority to impose approvals and tolls plus continued U.S. redirection of vessels, sustain trader expectations that traffic will remain suppressed through the end of May. This environment positions the 0–10 category as the clear consensus outcome based on verified maritime tracking.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
ভলিউম
$322,028শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, driven by Iranian restrictions and U.S. naval enforcement measures, have kept commercial vessel transits at historic lows. Pre-conflict daily averages exceeded 100–140 ships, yet data from May show single-digit crossings on many days, with weekly totals around 18 and frequent zero-transit periods amid blockade actions, vessel interceptions, and new Iranian permitting requirements. Recent developments, including Iran's establishment of a transit authority to impose approvals and tolls plus continued U.S. redirection of vessels, sustain trader expectations that traffic will remain suppressed through the end of May. This environment positions the 0–10 category as the clear consensus outcome based on verified maritime tracking.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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