Recent labor market resilience and steady commodity export trends have positioned the 0.2-0.3% MoM outcome as the clear market consensus for Canada’s June 2026 GDP release, reflected in the 67.5% implied probability. Traders appear to price in moderate expansion consistent with prior monthly prints and Bank of Canada guidance on balanced growth amid stable energy prices and US demand. The 0.0-0.1% and 0.4-0.5% ranges capture residual uncertainty around potential housing or trade data revisions, while sub-zero or higher outcomes remain low-probability tails. The imminent Statistics Canada release serves as the key catalyst that will resolve these aggregated probabilities backed by real capital.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0.2-0.3% 68%
0.0-0.1% 19%
0.4-0.5% 13.9%
<0.0% 3.8%
$17,072 Vol.
$17,072 Vol.
<0.0%
4%
0.0-0.1%
19%
0.2-0.3%
68%
0.4-0.5%
7%
0.6-0.7%
<1%
0.8%+
<1%
0.2-0.3% 68%
0.0-0.1% 19%
0.4-0.5% 13.9%
<0.0% 3.8%
$17,072 Vol.
$17,072 Vol.
<0.0%
4%
0.0-0.1%
19%
0.2-0.3%
68%
0.4-0.5%
7%
0.6-0.7%
<1%
0.8%+
<1%
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent labor market resilience and steady commodity export trends have positioned the 0.2-0.3% MoM outcome as the clear market consensus for Canada’s June 2026 GDP release, reflected in the 67.5% implied probability. Traders appear to price in moderate expansion consistent with prior monthly prints and Bank of Canada guidance on balanced growth amid stable energy prices and US demand. The 0.0-0.1% and 0.4-0.5% ranges capture residual uncertainty around potential housing or trade data revisions, while sub-zero or higher outcomes remain low-probability tails. The imminent Statistics Canada release serves as the key catalyst that will resolve these aggregated probabilities backed by real capital.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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