Market-implied odds for the Federal Reserve to hold its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate target range through the March, April, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings stand at 98%, reflecting trader consensus on persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market. Recent data showing headline CPI rising to 3.3% year-over-year in March, driven by elevated energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, have reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent stance, as signaled in the April 29 statement that maintained rates amid heightened uncertainty. With core PCE forecasts revised higher and only one cut still projected for later in 2026, participants view the current policy as appropriately restrictive. A shift could occur if incoming May or June inflation prints surprise sharply lower or labor market indicators weaken materially, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডবিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি 98.0%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট 1.6%
অন্যান্য <1%
$1,103,522 Vol.
$1,103,522 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি
98%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট
2%
অন্যান্য
<1%
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি 98.0%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট 1.6%
অন্যান্য <1%
$1,103,522 Vol.
$1,103,522 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি
$63,257 Vol.
98%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট
$42,236 Vol.
2%
অন্যান্য
$252,688 Vol.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmMarket-implied odds for the Federal Reserve to hold its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate target range through the March, April, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings stand at 98%, reflecting trader consensus on persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market. Recent data showing headline CPI rising to 3.3% year-over-year in March, driven by elevated energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, have reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent stance, as signaled in the April 29 statement that maintained rates amid heightened uncertainty. With core PCE forecasts revised higher and only one cut still projected for later in 2026, participants view the current policy as appropriately restrictive. A shift could occur if incoming May or June inflation prints surprise sharply lower or labor market indicators weaken materially, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current trends.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,103,522শেষ তারিখ
Jun 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmMarket-implied odds for the Federal Reserve to hold its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate target range through the March, April, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings stand at 98%, reflecting trader consensus on persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market. Recent data showing headline CPI rising to 3.3% year-over-year in March, driven by elevated energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, have reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent stance, as signaled in the April 29 statement that maintained rates amid heightened uncertainty. With core PCE forecasts revised higher and only one cut still projected for later in 2026, participants view the current policy as appropriately restrictive. A shift could occur if incoming May or June inflation prints surprise sharply lower or labor market indicators weaken materially, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current trends.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ভলিউম
$1,103,522শেষ তারিখ
Jun 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Market-implied odds for the Federal Reserve to hold its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate target range through the March, April, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings stand at 98%, reflecting trader consensus on persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market. Recent data showing headline CPI rising to 3.3% year-over-year in March, driven by elevated energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, have reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent stance, as signaled in the April 29 statement that maintained rates amid heightened uncertainty. With core PCE forecasts revised higher and only one cut still projected for later in 2026, participants view the current policy as appropriately restrictive. A shift could occur if incoming May or June inflation prints surprise sharply lower or labor market indicators weaken materially, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা