**Senate passage of a continuing resolution (CR) on August 8, 2026, by a 90-6 vote has driven the high probability against an October 1 appropriations lapse.** The measure (H.R. 6500) extends FY2026 funding levels through December 11, 2026, for the 12 regular appropriations accounts while addressing related policy riders such as an OMB grants rule delay. The House passed a similar but shorter-term version in July; both chambers are expected to reconcile differences after returning from recess on August 31, with presidential signature anticipated. This bipartisan procedural progress, following repeated funding gaps earlier in the FY2026 cycle, reflects broad congressional consensus on avoiding another lapse at the fiscal year transition. Traders view enactment before the September 30 deadline as the most probable outcome given the timeline and vote margins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড11% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 1, 2026
11% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Senate passage of a continuing resolution (CR) on August 8, 2026, by a 90-6 vote has driven the high probability against an October 1 appropriations lapse.** The measure (H.R. 6500) extends FY2026 funding levels through December 11, 2026, for the 12 regular appropriations accounts while addressing related policy riders such as an OMB grants rule delay. The House passed a similar but shorter-term version in July; both chambers are expected to reconcile differences after returning from recess on August 31, with presidential signature anticipated. This bipartisan procedural progress, following repeated funding gaps earlier in the FY2026 cycle, reflects broad congressional consensus on avoiding another lapse at the fiscal year transition. Traders view enactment before the September 30 deadline as the most probable outcome given the timeline and vote margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,353শেষ তারিখ
Oct 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Senate passage of a continuing resolution (CR) on August 8, 2026, by a 90-6 vote has driven the high probability against an October 1 appropriations lapse.** The measure (H.R. 6500) extends FY2026 funding levels through December 11, 2026, for the 12 regular appropriations accounts while addressing related policy riders such as an OMB grants rule delay. The House passed a similar but shorter-term version in July; both chambers are expected to reconcile differences after returning from recess on August 31, with presidential signature anticipated. This bipartisan procedural progress, following repeated funding gaps earlier in the FY2026 cycle, reflects broad congressional consensus on avoiding another lapse at the fiscal year transition. Traders view enactment before the September 30 deadline as the most probable outcome given the timeline and vote margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$1,353শেষ তারিখ
Oct 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...**Senate passage of a continuing resolution (CR) on August 8, 2026, by a 90-6 vote has driven the high probability against an October 1 appropriations lapse.** The measure (H.R. 6500) extends FY2026 funding levels through December 11, 2026, for the 12 regular appropriations accounts while addressing related policy riders such as an OMB grants rule delay. The House passed a similar but shorter-term version in July; both chambers are expected to reconcile differences after returning from recess on August 31, with presidential signature anticipated. This bipartisan procedural progress, following repeated funding gaps earlier in the FY2026 cycle, reflects broad congressional consensus on avoiding another lapse at the fiscal year transition. Traders view enactment before the September 30 deadline as the most probable outcome given the timeline and vote margins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা