Cool northwest maritime airflow and persistent cloud cover with scattered showers are capping daytime warming in Amsterdam today, keeping the highest temperature tightly contested between 14°C and 15°C. Official KNMI guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate moderate winds and limited afternoon sunshine will suppress the peak well below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, with morning observations already hovering near 8–10°C. Minor differences in model predictions for cloud breaks and solar radiation explain the near-even market split, while any extended clearing could briefly push readings toward 15°C before resolution. Updated hourly data from Schiphol and afternoon model runs will clarify the final maximum.