Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models cluster Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 17 tightly around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33.5% and 28.5% implied probability. Mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover limit surface heating, while East China Sea moisture and the urban heat island effect keep readings near mid-May climatological norms of 25–26°C. Model divergence centers on sea-breeze onset timing: earlier onshore winds favor a 25°C peak, whereas delayed clearing could allow brief 28°C readings. Low-level humidity variations introduce residual uncertainty ahead of final China Meteorological Administration station measurements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 17%
28°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
17%
26°C
34%
27°C
29%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 17%
28°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$228 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$455 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,182 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,684 Vol.
6%
25°C
$544 Vol.
17%
26°C
$421 Vol.
34%
27°C
$214 Vol.
29%
28°C
$295 Vol.
11%
29°C
$310 Vol.
3%
30°C
$251 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$247 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models cluster Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 17 tightly around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33.5% and 28.5% implied probability. Mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover limit surface heating, while East China Sea moisture and the urban heat island effect keep readings near mid-May climatological norms of 25–26°C. Model divergence centers on sea-breeze onset timing: earlier onshore winds favor a 25°C peak, whereas delayed clearing could allow brief 28°C readings. Low-level humidity variations introduce residual uncertainty ahead of final China Meteorological Administration station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$5,829শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models cluster Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 17 tightly around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33.5% and 28.5% implied probability. Mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover limit surface heating, while East China Sea moisture and the urban heat island effect keep readings near mid-May climatological norms of 25–26°C. Model divergence centers on sea-breeze onset timing: earlier onshore winds favor a 25°C peak, whereas delayed clearing could allow brief 28°C readings. Low-level humidity variations introduce residual uncertainty ahead of final China Meteorological Administration station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$5,829শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models cluster Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 17 tightly around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33.5% and 28.5% implied probability. Mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover limit surface heating, while East China Sea moisture and the urban heat island effect keep readings near mid-May climatological norms of 25–26°C. Model divergence centers on sea-breeze onset timing: earlier onshore winds favor a 25°C peak, whereas delayed clearing could allow brief 28°C readings. Low-level humidity variations introduce residual uncertainty ahead of final China Meteorological Administration station measurements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা