The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 16, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that maximum under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This reading falls squarely within mid-May climatological norms, where daytime peaks average 25–27°C during the East Asian monsoon transition period. Numerical weather models issued in the preceding days showed strong consensus on these values with little spread, reflecting minimal convective activity or frontal influences. Any late-stage data revision by the Observatory remains the only realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$312,572 Vol.
$312,572 Vol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$312,572 Vol.
$312,572 Vol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$20,243 Vol.
No
20°C
$12,423 Vol.
No
21°C
$12,291 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,802 Vol.
No
24°C
$37,336 Vol.
No
25°C
$82,493 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$43,374 Vol.
No
27°C
$40,057 Vol.
No
28°C
$25,641 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$27,278 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 16, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that maximum under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This reading falls squarely within mid-May climatological norms, where daytime peaks average 25–27°C during the East Asian monsoon transition period. Numerical weather models issued in the preceding days showed strong consensus on these values with little spread, reflecting minimal convective activity or frontal influences. Any late-stage data revision by the Observatory remains the only realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
ভলিউম
$312,572শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 16, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that maximum under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This reading falls squarely within mid-May climatological norms, where daytime peaks average 25–27°C during the East Asian monsoon transition period. Numerical weather models issued in the preceding days showed strong consensus on these values with little spread, reflecting minimal convective activity or frontal influences. Any late-stage data revision by the Observatory remains the only realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$312,572শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: Yes
The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 16, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that maximum under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This reading falls squarely within mid-May climatological norms, where daytime peaks average 25–27°C during the East Asian monsoon transition period. Numerical weather models issued in the preceding days showed strong consensus on these values with little spread, reflecting minimal convective activity or frontal influences. Any late-stage data revision by the Observatory remains the only realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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