Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the market’s leading outcome at 42% implied probability. This range reflects an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that is steering cooler, moist air across southern England, with model consensus showing limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover and possible light showers. Historical mid-May averages for London hover around 16–17 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values at the lower end of the seasonal distribution. Traders are closely monitoring the next model runs and Met Office updates, which could shift probabilities if high pressure builds more quickly than expected.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in London on May 18?
15°C 42%
16°C 29%
14°C 15%
17°C 7.4%
$41,300 Vol.
$41,300 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
15%
15°C
42%
16°C
29%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 42%
16°C 29%
14°C 15%
17°C 7.4%
$41,300 Vol.
$41,300 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
15%
15°C
42%
16°C
29%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the market’s leading outcome at 42% implied probability. This range reflects an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that is steering cooler, moist air across southern England, with model consensus showing limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover and possible light showers. Historical mid-May averages for London hover around 16–17 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values at the lower end of the seasonal distribution. Traders are closely monitoring the next model runs and Met Office updates, which could shift probabilities if high pressure builds more quickly than expected.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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