Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a southward-advancing frontal boundary will deliver cooler northerly flow to the Kanto region, capping Tokyo’s September 6 maximum near 24 °C under overcast skies and widespread rain. This represents a sharp departure from the early-September climatological average of roughly 29–30 °C, driving the 39 % market-implied probability for 24 °C and the secondary 21.5 % weight on 25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation further limit diurnal heating, while model consensus shows little disagreement on the temperature range. Traders are therefore pricing the near-term guidance heavily, with limited upside risk unless a slower frontal passage allows brief warming.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?
24°C 36%
25°C 22%
23°C 16%
26°C 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
36%
25°C
22%
26°C
10%
27°C
7%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
3%
24°C 36%
25°C 22%
23°C 16%
26°C 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$148 Vol.
3%
22°C
$6 Vol.
5%
23°C
$13 Vol.
16%
24°C
$3 Vol.
36%
25°C
$186 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$9 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a southward-advancing frontal boundary will deliver cooler northerly flow to the Kanto region, capping Tokyo’s September 6 maximum near 24 °C under overcast skies and widespread rain. This represents a sharp departure from the early-September climatological average of roughly 29–30 °C, driving the 39 % market-implied probability for 24 °C and the secondary 21.5 % weight on 25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation further limit diurnal heating, while model consensus shows little disagreement on the temperature range. Traders are therefore pricing the near-term guidance heavily, with limited upside risk unless a slower frontal passage allows brief warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$367শেষ তারিখ
Sep 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a southward-advancing frontal boundary will deliver cooler northerly flow to the Kanto region, capping Tokyo’s September 6 maximum near 24 °C under overcast skies and widespread rain. This represents a sharp departure from the early-September climatological average of roughly 29–30 °C, driving the 39 % market-implied probability for 24 °C and the secondary 21.5 % weight on 25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation further limit diurnal heating, while model consensus shows little disagreement on the temperature range. Traders are therefore pricing the near-term guidance heavily, with limited upside risk unless a slower frontal passage allows brief warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$367শেষ তারিখ
Sep 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a southward-advancing frontal boundary will deliver cooler northerly flow to the Kanto region, capping Tokyo’s September 6 maximum near 24 °C under overcast skies and widespread rain. This represents a sharp departure from the early-September climatological average of roughly 29–30 °C, driving the 39 % market-implied probability for 24 °C and the secondary 21.5 % weight on 25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation further limit diurnal heating, while model consensus shows little disagreement on the temperature range. Traders are therefore pricing the near-term guidance heavily, with limited upside risk unless a slower frontal passage allows brief warming.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা