Movimiento Ciudadano maintains a modest lead in trader pricing for control of the Jalisco state congress in the June 2027 election, reflecting its incumbency under Governor Pablo Lemus and established municipal presence. The local electoral process formally began in October 2026, with precampaigns scheduled to start in December and campaigns running from April to June. Recent polling indicates competitive dynamics, with Morena showing stronger support in several metropolitan areas amid ongoing concerns over water infrastructure and public services, while MC retains advantages in key districts like Zapopan. Candidate registration, coalition negotiations, and responses to the state budget debate could influence seat distributions in the 38-member body before voting concludes.