Trader consensus favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F at 41.5% implied probability for Miami on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest point forecast of around 75°F overnight into early morning at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official observing site. Mostly clear skies and light westerly winds of 3-5 mph promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, though urban heat island effects and dewpoints near 70°F limit deeper drops into the low 70s (19.5% odds). Recent evening updates on May 14 refined projections slightly cooler in peripheral zones but held steady centrally, consistent with mid-May climatological averages of 74-76°F and no disruptive cloud cover or fronts. Monitor KMIA hourly observations through dawn for final resolution, as minor wind shifts or isolated showers could nudge the minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
74-75°F 50%
72-73°F 15%
76-77°F 7%
70-71°F 4.5%
$11,015 Vol.
$11,015 Vol.
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 50%
72-73°F 15%
76-77°F 7%
70-71°F 4.5%
$11,015 Vol.
$11,015 Vol.
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
$590 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$78 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$345 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$148 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$182 Vol.
45%
76-77°F
$285 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$595 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$2,304 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$960 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$902 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$4,625 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F at 41.5% implied probability for Miami on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest point forecast of around 75°F overnight into early morning at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official observing site. Mostly clear skies and light westerly winds of 3-5 mph promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, though urban heat island effects and dewpoints near 70°F limit deeper drops into the low 70s (19.5% odds). Recent evening updates on May 14 refined projections slightly cooler in peripheral zones but held steady centrally, consistent with mid-May climatological averages of 74-76°F and no disruptive cloud cover or fronts. Monitor KMIA hourly observations through dawn for final resolution, as minor wind shifts or isolated showers could nudge the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$11,015শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F at 41.5% implied probability for Miami on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest point forecast of around 75°F overnight into early morning at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official observing site. Mostly clear skies and light westerly winds of 3-5 mph promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, though urban heat island effects and dewpoints near 70°F limit deeper drops into the low 70s (19.5% odds). Recent evening updates on May 14 refined projections slightly cooler in peripheral zones but held steady centrally, consistent with mid-May climatological averages of 74-76°F and no disruptive cloud cover or fronts. Monitor KMIA hourly observations through dawn for final resolution, as minor wind shifts or isolated showers could nudge the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$11,015শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F at 41.5% implied probability for Miami on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest point forecast of around 75°F overnight into early morning at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official observing site. Mostly clear skies and light westerly winds of 3-5 mph promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, though urban heat island effects and dewpoints near 70°F limit deeper drops into the low 70s (19.5% odds). Recent evening updates on May 14 refined projections slightly cooler in peripheral zones but held steady centrally, consistent with mid-May climatological averages of 74-76°F and no disruptive cloud cover or fronts. Monitor KMIA hourly observations through dawn for final resolution, as minor wind shifts or isolated showers could nudge the minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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