Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate Miami's overnight low on May 16 will likely settle in the mid-70s as a warm, humid airmass remains in place under light easterly flow. Sea-surface temperatures near 80 °F across the western Atlantic continue to limit nocturnal cooling, while the absence of any frontal passage or dry-air intrusion keeps boundary-layer moisture high. Climatologically, May minimums average 74–76 °F, and current model runs show only modest day-to-day variability, reinforcing trader consensus around the 74–77 °F range. Updated short-range forecasts from the National Hurricane Center’s parent models and local Miami offices will provide the final resolution data within the next 24 hours.