Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris winning 69% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic House election winner. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a competitive August 4 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney and Mary Waters, but the victor is poised for a comfortable general election victory on November 3, mirroring Thanedar's prior 68-71% margins over perennial Republican foe Martell Bivings amid a fragmented five-candidate GOP field. Independent Maurice Morton poses minimal threat given fundraising gaps—Thanedar holds over $5 million cash-on-hand. No major developments in the past 30 days; ratings unchanged. Upsets would require a post-primary Democratic scandal, GOP turnout surge, or crossover voting, defying district history.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$35,598 Vol.
$35,598 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
<1%
$35,598 Vol.
$35,598 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$22,349 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$13,249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris winning 69% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic House election winner. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a competitive August 4 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney and Mary Waters, but the victor is poised for a comfortable general election victory on November 3, mirroring Thanedar's prior 68-71% margins over perennial Republican foe Martell Bivings amid a fragmented five-candidate GOP field. Independent Maurice Morton poses minimal threat given fundraising gaps—Thanedar holds over $5 million cash-on-hand. No major developments in the past 30 days; ratings unchanged. Upsets would require a post-primary Democratic scandal, GOP turnout surge, or crossover voting, defying district history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$35,598শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris winning 69% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic House election winner. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a competitive August 4 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney and Mary Waters, but the victor is poised for a comfortable general election victory on November 3, mirroring Thanedar's prior 68-71% margins over perennial Republican foe Martell Bivings amid a fragmented five-candidate GOP field. Independent Maurice Morton poses minimal threat given fundraising gaps—Thanedar holds over $5 million cash-on-hand. No major developments in the past 30 days; ratings unchanged. Upsets would require a post-primary Democratic scandal, GOP turnout surge, or crossover voting, defying district history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$35,598শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris winning 69% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic House election winner. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a competitive August 4 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney and Mary Waters, but the victor is poised for a comfortable general election victory on November 3, mirroring Thanedar's prior 68-71% margins over perennial Republican foe Martell Bivings amid a fragmented five-candidate GOP field. Independent Maurice Morton poses minimal threat given fundraising gaps—Thanedar holds over $5 million cash-on-hand. No major developments in the past 30 days; ratings unchanged. Upsets would require a post-primary Democratic scandal, GOP turnout surge, or crossover voting, defying district history.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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