Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic nominees in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced a clear victor in state Rep. Donavan McKinney, who defeated two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar by roughly four points and consolidated support from both progressive and establishment factions. This outcome, combined with the district's urban Detroit core and historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, underpins trader consensus on a November general election result. A Republican nominee faces structural barriers including registration advantages and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or national economic shocks could still shift probabilities, though such events remain uncommon in this environment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$48,928 Vol.
$48,928 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$48,928 Vol.
$48,928 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,960 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$19,968 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic nominees in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced a clear victor in state Rep. Donavan McKinney, who defeated two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar by roughly four points and consolidated support from both progressive and establishment factions. This outcome, combined with the district's urban Detroit core and historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, underpins trader consensus on a November general election result. A Republican nominee faces structural barriers including registration advantages and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or national economic shocks could still shift probabilities, though such events remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$48,928শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic nominees in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced a clear victor in state Rep. Donavan McKinney, who defeated two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar by roughly four points and consolidated support from both progressive and establishment factions. This outcome, combined with the district's urban Detroit core and historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, underpins trader consensus on a November general election result. A Republican nominee faces structural barriers including registration advantages and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or national economic shocks could still shift probabilities, though such events remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$48,928শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic nominees in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced a clear victor in state Rep. Donavan McKinney, who defeated two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar by roughly four points and consolidated support from both progressive and establishment factions. This outcome, combined with the district's urban Detroit core and historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, underpins trader consensus on a November general election result. A Republican nominee faces structural barriers including registration advantages and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or national economic shocks could still shift probabilities, though such events remain uncommon in this environment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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