Byron Donalds hits peak market support amid Florida GOP primary race

Byron Donalds jumps to 93%11%

Byron Donalds reached a peak market price of 93%, reflecting strong confidence in his likelihood to win the Republican primary for Florida governor as other candidates' support waned.

Byron Donalds peaks at 93% after winning key endorsement from Florida Senate President

Byron Donalds jumps to 93%5%

The Florida Senate President publicly endorsed Donalds, creating a brief market peak to 93% before a modest pullback, while all other candidates fell to near‑zero.

Byron Donalds' campaign gains momentum with increased media coverage and endorsements

Byron Donalds jumps to 93%11%

Byron Donalds' campaign received increased media attention and endorsements from key Republican figures, solidifying his position as the frontrunner in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary. This led to a peak in his market probability around early April 2026.

Gov. Ron DeSantis calls special session to redraw Florida congressional districts

Governor DeSantis called a special legislative session in April 2026 to redraw congressional districts, intensifying GOP infighting and political maneuvering in Florida. While this affected the broader political landscape, it had limited direct impact on the gubernatorial primary market.

Byron Donalds hits 87% price after DeSantis hints at endorsement

Byron Donalds jumps to 87%5%

Governor Ron DeSantis said he would consider endorsing a candidate but did not name anyone; market inferred likely support for Donalds, sending his price to 87% and further marginalizing others.

Byron Donalds maintains strong lead in Florida GOP gubernatorial primary market

Byron Donalds rises to 81%2%

Byron Donalds' market price remained high following his early announcement and Trump's endorsement, solidifying his position as the frontrunner in the Republican primary.

Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid continues to solidify

Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%

Byron Donalds' campaign maintained its momentum as the primary frontrunner, with his market price rising steadily throughout the period.

National Governors Association meeting disrupted by Trump excluding Democrats

The annual governors' meeting in Washington was upended after President Trump excluded Democratic governors from White House events, highlighting partisan tensions that may influence Republican primaries including Florida's.

Byron Donalds reaches 81% market price after fundraising surge

Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%

Donald’s campaign reported a $15 million fundraising haul, reinforcing his frontrunner status and pushing his market price to a new high.

Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins joins 2026 governor Republican primary

Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins officially announced his candidacy for governor, entering a primary field that already included Trump-backed U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds.

Florida GOP hosts candidate forum; Donalds dominates headlines

Byron Donalds rises to 82%1%

During a televised GOP forum, Donalds outperformed rivals in a Q&A session, leading to a price jump from 81% to 82% as market participants interpreted his strong showing as a sign of inevitable nomination.

Trump publicly praises Byron Donalds as preferred Florida governor candidate

Byron Donalds jumps to 81%11%

President Trump reiterated his support for Donalds in a televised interview, prompting a further price rise for Donalds to the low 80s and a corresponding decline for other candidates.

Governor Ron DeSantis declines to endorse any primary candidate

DeSantis' neutrality removed a potential boost for other contenders, reinforcing Donalds' lead and contributing to the continued decline of the remaining candidates toward zero.

Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces run for governor

Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%

Collins' entry added a high‑profile state official to the field, briefly lifting his price from single digits to low‑teens before his support waned as Donalds' endorsement dominated the narrative.

Poll shows Byron Donalds leading Republican primary field

Byron Donalds jumps to 70%10%

A statewide poll released in mid‑December gave Donalds a double‑digit lead over his rivals, reinforcing his upward price trajectory to the low 70s.

Azoria CEO James Fishback launches gubernatorial campaign

James Fishback drops to 36%7%

James Fishback entered the race, positioning himself as a business outsider; the announcement shifted attention away from other fringe candidates, contributing to a modest dip in his own price and a slight rise for Donalds.

James Fishback launches gubernatorial campaign

James Fishback drops to 33%10%

Entrepreneur James Fishback entered the race, drawing limited media attention; his market price fell from 43% to the low 30s as donors and voters focused on higher‑profile candidates.

Jay Collins' gubernatorial bid gains attention as lieutenant governor

Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%

Following his announcement, Jay Collins' candidacy gained traction but faced challenges competing against Trump-backed Donalds, reflected in fluctuating market prices in early December 2025.

Donald Trump endorses Rep. Byron Donalds for Florida governor

Byron Donalds jumps to 62%14%

Former President Trump publicly backed Byron Donalds, giving the candidate a major boost in national visibility and signaling party establishment support, which drove Donalds' price from the low‑40s to the high‑60s percent range.

Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 Florida governor race

Jay Collins plunges to 12%30%

Jay Collins announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a DeSantis ally but without a clear endorsement, which coincided with a sharp drop in his market price from 42% to the low single digits over the following weeks.

Jay Collins announces run for Florida governor

Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%

Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announced his candidacy for governor, entering the primary race against Trump-backed Byron Donalds, which initially caused a shift in market expectations.

Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 governor race against Trump-backed rival

Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and an ally of Governor Ron DeSantis, announced his candidacy for governor, entering the Republican primary against Trump-backed Byron Donalds. Collins' entry initially caused some market movement but he failed to gain significant traction.

Byron Donalds' gubernatorial campaign gains momentum

Byron Donalds' campaign for Florida governor, backed by Donald Trump, began the analysis window with strong market support, reflecting his status as the frontrunner.

Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 governor run against Trump-backed Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds surges to 63%15%

Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, officially entered the Republican primary, setting up a contest against Trump-endorsed Byron Donalds. This announcement clarified the primary field and influenced early market positioning, with Donalds gaining from Trump's backing and Collins entering as a credible contender.