Trader consensus reflects a 90.5% implied probability against President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, driven by the provision's extraordinary political barriers: invocation requires Vice President JD Vance and a majority of principal Cabinet officers to declare presidential incapacity, a step untested against an elected leader and politically toxic for appointees. Early April 2026 saw over 50 Democrats, including Reps. Goldman and Raskin, plus the NAACP and ex-CIA Director Brennan, urge action amid Trump's escalatory Iran rhetoric—threatening to "wipe out a whole civilization"—and unverified health concerns, but no Cabinet support emerged, dismissing calls as partisan theater. Absent momentum or official signals since, traders see negligible path forward before term's end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$24,050 Vol.
$24,050 Vol.
$24,050 Vol.
$24,050 Vol.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 90.5% implied probability against President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, driven by the provision's extraordinary political barriers: invocation requires Vice President JD Vance and a majority of principal Cabinet officers to declare presidential incapacity, a step untested against an elected leader and politically toxic for appointees. Early April 2026 saw over 50 Democrats, including Reps. Goldman and Raskin, plus the NAACP and ex-CIA Director Brennan, urge action amid Trump's escalatory Iran rhetoric—threatening to "wipe out a whole civilization"—and unverified health concerns, but no Cabinet support emerged, dismissing calls as partisan theater. Absent momentum or official signals since, traders see negligible path forward before term's end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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