Traders assign a 96.9% probability against Donald Trump's removal via the 25th Amendment before 2027 due to the amendment's demanding procedural requirements and the absence of supporting conditions. Invocation demands the Vice President plus a Cabinet majority to certify incapacity, followed by congressional confirmation within strict timelines, a sequence with no historical precedent for permanent ouster absent acute medical or cognitive impairment. Current administration stability, lack of reported health crises, and aligned executive branch dynamics reinforce the low odds of such a step. Only an unforeseen medical development or sudden internal consensus on unfitness within the Cabinet could realistically shift the implied probability in the remaining period.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$48,993 Vol.
$48,993 Vol.
$48,993 Vol.
$48,993 Vol.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 96.9% probability against Donald Trump's removal via the 25th Amendment before 2027 due to the amendment's demanding procedural requirements and the absence of supporting conditions. Invocation demands the Vice President plus a Cabinet majority to certify incapacity, followed by congressional confirmation within strict timelines, a sequence with no historical precedent for permanent ouster absent acute medical or cognitive impairment. Current administration stability, lack of reported health crises, and aligned executive branch dynamics reinforce the low odds of such a step. Only an unforeseen medical development or sudden internal consensus on unfitness within the Cabinet could realistically shift the implied probability in the remaining period.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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