Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concludes on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader expectations for departure in the May 15–22 window at 45.3 percent and the following week at 31.1 percent. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor, completed in mid-May, removed procedural uncertainty and aligned the timeline with the statutory end of Powell’s four-year chairmanship. Powell’s April 29 announcement that he will continue serving as a governor through at least part of his 2028 term further clarified that the chair transition would occur independently of any board departure. These confirmed institutional steps, rather than speculation over resignation or removal, account for the concentrated probabilities in late May and the sharp drop-off in odds beyond early June.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 46.0%
May 23–29 31.5%
May 30–June 5 6.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$169,680 Vol.
$169,680 Vol.
May 15–22
45%
May 23–29
31%
May 30–June 5
6%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 46.0%
May 23–29 31.5%
May 30–June 5 6.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$169,680 Vol.
$169,680 Vol.
May 15–22
45%
May 23–29
31%
May 30–June 5
6%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concludes on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader expectations for departure in the May 15–22 window at 45.3 percent and the following week at 31.1 percent. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor, completed in mid-May, removed procedural uncertainty and aligned the timeline with the statutory end of Powell’s four-year chairmanship. Powell’s April 29 announcement that he will continue serving as a governor through at least part of his 2028 term further clarified that the chair transition would occur independently of any board departure. These confirmed institutional steps, rather than speculation over resignation or removal, account for the concentrated probabilities in late May and the sharp drop-off in odds beyond early June.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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