Traders assign an 85% probability that no country will expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting the absence of new diplomatic ruptures since South Africa's January 2026 expulsion of Israel's chargé d'affaires, which prompted a reciprocal action. Subsequent developments, including Spain's March recall of its own envoy amid policy disagreements and Iran's March incentives for other states to take similar steps, produced no additional expulsions. Parliamentary motions and public calls in several nations have not translated into government decisions, and no major escalations in bilateral relations or multilateral pressure have emerged in recent months to alter this pattern. The current trader consensus aligns with the limited frequency of such actions over the past year.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
15% সম্ভাবনা
$42,530 Vol.
$42,530 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
15% সম্ভাবনা
$42,530 Vol.
$42,530 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 85% probability that no country will expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting the absence of new diplomatic ruptures since South Africa's January 2026 expulsion of Israel's chargé d'affaires, which prompted a reciprocal action. Subsequent developments, including Spain's March recall of its own envoy amid policy disagreements and Iran's March incentives for other states to take similar steps, produced no additional expulsions. Parliamentary motions and public calls in several nations have not translated into government decisions, and no major escalations in bilateral relations or multilateral pressure have emerged in recent months to alter this pattern. The current trader consensus aligns with the limited frequency of such actions over the past year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$42,530শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 85% probability that no country will expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting the absence of new diplomatic ruptures since South Africa's January 2026 expulsion of Israel's chargé d'affaires, which prompted a reciprocal action. Subsequent developments, including Spain's March recall of its own envoy amid policy disagreements and Iran's March incentives for other states to take similar steps, produced no additional expulsions. Parliamentary motions and public calls in several nations have not translated into government decisions, and no major escalations in bilateral relations or multilateral pressure have emerged in recent months to alter this pattern. The current trader consensus aligns with the limited frequency of such actions over the past year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$42,530শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 85% probability that no country will expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting the absence of new diplomatic ruptures since South Africa's January 2026 expulsion of Israel's chargé d'affaires, which prompted a reciprocal action. Subsequent developments, including Spain's March recall of its own envoy amid policy disagreements and Iran's March incentives for other states to take similar steps, produced no additional expulsions. Parliamentary motions and public calls in several nations have not translated into government decisions, and no major escalations in bilateral relations or multilateral pressure have emerged in recent months to alter this pattern. The current trader consensus aligns with the limited frequency of such actions over the past year.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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