Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82% implied probability on the Workers' Party (PT) nominating incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for the October 4, 2026, Brazilian presidential election by the August 15 Superior Electoral Court filing deadline, reflecting Lula's October 2025 reelection announcement and the PT's April 2026 National Congress approval of a manifesto centering his candidacy amid leading polls. Recent PT leadership statements, including José Dirceu's May 12 conviction in Lula's reelection and new president Edinho Silva's alliance-building push, reinforce this path despite Lula's recent absences from party events and ongoing successor debates. At age 81, health remains a latent risk, but no major internal opposition has emerged to derail the procedural nomination process.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$10,540 Vol.
$10,540 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
$10,540 Vol.
$10,540 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82% implied probability on the Workers' Party (PT) nominating incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for the October 4, 2026, Brazilian presidential election by the August 15 Superior Electoral Court filing deadline, reflecting Lula's October 2025 reelection announcement and the PT's April 2026 National Congress approval of a manifesto centering his candidacy amid leading polls. Recent PT leadership statements, including José Dirceu's May 12 conviction in Lula's reelection and new president Edinho Silva's alliance-building push, reinforce this path despite Lula's recent absences from party events and ongoing successor debates. At age 81, health remains a latent risk, but no major internal opposition has emerged to derail the procedural nomination process.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
ভলিউম
$10,540শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82% implied probability on the Workers' Party (PT) nominating incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for the October 4, 2026, Brazilian presidential election by the August 15 Superior Electoral Court filing deadline, reflecting Lula's October 2025 reelection announcement and the PT's April 2026 National Congress approval of a manifesto centering his candidacy amid leading polls. Recent PT leadership statements, including José Dirceu's May 12 conviction in Lula's reelection and new president Edinho Silva's alliance-building push, reinforce this path despite Lula's recent absences from party events and ongoing successor debates. At age 81, health remains a latent risk, but no major internal opposition has emerged to derail the procedural nomination process.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$10,540শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82% implied probability on the Workers' Party (PT) nominating incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for the October 4, 2026, Brazilian presidential election by the August 15 Superior Electoral Court filing deadline, reflecting Lula's October 2025 reelection announcement and the PT's April 2026 National Congress approval of a manifesto centering his candidacy amid leading polls. Recent PT leadership statements, including José Dirceu's May 12 conviction in Lula's reelection and new president Edinho Silva's alliance-building push, reinforce this path despite Lula's recent absences from party events and ongoing successor debates. At age 81, health remains a latent risk, but no major internal opposition has emerged to derail the procedural nomination process.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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