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Wahlen·Stimmen

2026 Midterms: Hausbeteiligung

icon for 2026 Midterms: Hausbeteiligung
Wahlen·Stimmen

2026 Midterms: Hausbeteiligung

130 Mio.+  31%

115-120 Mio. 16%

125-130 Mio. 15%

120-125 Mio. 12%

Polymarket
NEU

130 Mio.+  31%

115-120 Mio. 16%

125-130 Mio. 15%

120-125 Mio. 12%

Polymarket
NEU

<85 Mio.

$324 Vol.

<1%

85-90 Mio.

$419 Vol.

<1%

90-95 Mio.

$1,552 Vol.

1%

95-100 Mio.

$269 Vol.

1%

100–105 Mio.

$791 Vol.

1%

105–110 Mio.

$436 Vol.

6%

110-115 Mio.

$526 Vol.

11%

115-120 Mio.

$1,025 Vol.

16%

120-125 Mio.

$408 Vol.

22%

125-130 Mio.

$1,204 Vol.

21%

130 Mio.+

$307 Vol.

31%

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely matched probabilities across the 120–130 million range for total House votes in the 2026 midterms stem from uncertainty over base mobilization in an off-year contest marked by President Trump’s sub-45 percent approval rating and a small number of truly competitive districts. Recent primary turnout records in states such as Texas and North Carolina indicate elevated engagement on both sides, yet broader historical patterns show midterm participation typically trails presidential-year levels. Low public trust in institutions and polarization could further suppress or spur turnout depending on economic conditions, campaign intensity in swing districts, and any late developments in congressional control battles.

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.

Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$7,260
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely matched probabilities across the 120–130 million range for total House votes in the 2026 midterms stem from uncertainty over base mobilization in an off-year contest marked by President Trump’s sub-45 percent approval rating and a small number of truly competitive districts. Recent primary turnout records in states such as Texas and North Carolina indicate elevated engagement on both sides, yet broader historical patterns show midterm participation typically trails presidential-year levels. Low public trust in institutions and polarization could further suppress or spur turnout depending on economic conditions, campaign intensity in swing districts, and any late developments in congressional control battles.

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.

Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$7,260
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„2026 Midterms: Hausbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „130 Mio.+ " mit 31%, gefolgt von „120-125 Mio." mit 22%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 31¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 31% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„2026 Midterms: Hausbeteiligung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Feb 20, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „2026 Midterms: Hausbeteiligung" ist „130 Mio.+ " mit 31%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 31% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „120-125 Mio." mit 22%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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