Incumbent Javier Milei leads trader consensus at 50.5% for Argentina's October 2027 presidential election, reflecting his party's stronger congressional position after the 2025 midterms and progress on austerity measures, deregulation, and fiscal balance. His approval has declined into the mid-30s amid persistent inflation, eroded purchasing power, and government-linked corruption allegations, creating openings for challengers. Axel Kicillof trails at 40.5% as the leading Peronist alternative, backed by coalition-building efforts in Buenos Aires province and polls showing him competitive or ahead in head-to-head scenarios. Sergio Massa and remaining candidates hold single-digit shares, underscoring a fragmented field where economic outcomes and opposition unity could shift probabilities ahead of the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGewinner der argentinischen Präsidentschaftswahl
Javier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 41%
Sergio Massa 4.5%
Myriam Bregman 1.3%
$526,566 Vol.
$526,566 Vol.

Javier Milei
52%

Axel Kicillof
41%

Sergio Massa
5%

Myriam Bregman
1%

Dante Gebel
1%

Juan Grabois
1%

Victoria Villarruel
<1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%
Javier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 41%
Sergio Massa 4.5%
Myriam Bregman 1.3%
$526,566 Vol.
$526,566 Vol.

Javier Milei
52%

Axel Kicillof
41%

Sergio Massa
5%

Myriam Bregman
1%

Dante Gebel
1%

Juan Grabois
1%

Victoria Villarruel
<1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Markt eröffnet: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Javier Milei leads trader consensus at 50.5% for Argentina's October 2027 presidential election, reflecting his party's stronger congressional position after the 2025 midterms and progress on austerity measures, deregulation, and fiscal balance. His approval has declined into the mid-30s amid persistent inflation, eroded purchasing power, and government-linked corruption allegations, creating openings for challengers. Axel Kicillof trails at 40.5% as the leading Peronist alternative, backed by coalition-building efforts in Buenos Aires province and polls showing him competitive or ahead in head-to-head scenarios. Sergio Massa and remaining candidates hold single-digit shares, underscoring a fragmented field where economic outcomes and opposition unity could shift probabilities ahead of the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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