Trader consensus reflects near-unanimous confidence in no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, driven by his unchallenged dominance over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) via sustained anti-corruption purges. January 2026's dismissal of top generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli fueled unverified rumors of a foiled plot on January 18, but official statements attributed it to graft, with no independent confirmation of an actual coup effort amid tight information controls. Since then, no major military unrest, elite defections, or factional challenges have emerged, underscoring structural barriers like loyalty oaths and surveillance. Realistic shifts could stem from severe economic downturns, Taiwan escalation fallout, or Xi's health decline, though these remain low-probability amid policy continuity toward the 2027 Party Congress.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$127,619 Vol.
$127,619 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$127,619 Vol.
$127,619 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-unanimous confidence in no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, driven by his unchallenged dominance over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) via sustained anti-corruption purges. January 2026's dismissal of top generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli fueled unverified rumors of a foiled plot on January 18, but official statements attributed it to graft, with no independent confirmation of an actual coup effort amid tight information controls. Since then, no major military unrest, elite defections, or factional challenges have emerged, underscoring structural barriers like loyalty oaths and surveillance. Realistic shifts could stem from severe economic downturns, Taiwan escalation fallout, or Xi's health decline, though these remain low-probability amid policy continuity toward the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$127,619Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-unanimous confidence in no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, driven by his unchallenged dominance over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) via sustained anti-corruption purges. January 2026's dismissal of top generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli fueled unverified rumors of a foiled plot on January 18, but official statements attributed it to graft, with no independent confirmation of an actual coup effort amid tight information controls. Since then, no major military unrest, elite defections, or factional challenges have emerged, underscoring structural barriers like loyalty oaths and surveillance. Realistic shifts could stem from severe economic downturns, Taiwan escalation fallout, or Xi's health decline, though these remain low-probability amid policy continuity toward the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$127,619Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-unanimous confidence in no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, driven by his unchallenged dominance over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) via sustained anti-corruption purges. January 2026's dismissal of top generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli fueled unverified rumors of a foiled plot on January 18, but official statements attributed it to graft, with no independent confirmation of an actual coup effort amid tight information controls. Since then, no major military unrest, elite defections, or factional challenges have emerged, underscoring structural barriers like loyalty oaths and surveillance. Realistic shifts could stem from severe economic downturns, Taiwan escalation fallout, or Xi's health decline, though these remain low-probability amid policy continuity toward the 2027 Party Congress.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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