Xi Jinping's consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Early 2026 purges of senior generals, including Zhang Youxia, addressed potential factional challenges through investigations rather than exposing fractures, with official channels confirming no disruption to centralized command. No verified instability signals, public dissent, or leadership transitions have emerged since, as Xi maintains active diplomacy and party governance ahead of the 2027 congress. The narrow remaining window to December 31, 2026, further limits opportunities for rapid shifts. Remote contingencies such as an abrupt health event or unforeseen reversal in elite dynamics could theoretically alter trajectories, though current evidence shows none materializing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
4% Chance
$153,750 Vol.
$153,750 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
4% Chance
$153,750 Vol.
$153,750 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Early 2026 purges of senior generals, including Zhang Youxia, addressed potential factional challenges through investigations rather than exposing fractures, with official channels confirming no disruption to centralized command. No verified instability signals, public dissent, or leadership transitions have emerged since, as Xi maintains active diplomacy and party governance ahead of the 2027 congress. The narrow remaining window to December 31, 2026, further limits opportunities for rapid shifts. Remote contingencies such as an abrupt health event or unforeseen reversal in elite dynamics could theoretically alter trajectories, though current evidence shows none materializing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$153,750Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Early 2026 purges of senior generals, including Zhang Youxia, addressed potential factional challenges through investigations rather than exposing fractures, with official channels confirming no disruption to centralized command. No verified instability signals, public dissent, or leadership transitions have emerged since, as Xi maintains active diplomacy and party governance ahead of the 2027 congress. The narrow remaining window to December 31, 2026, further limits opportunities for rapid shifts. Remote contingencies such as an abrupt health event or unforeseen reversal in elite dynamics could theoretically alter trajectories, though current evidence shows none materializing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$153,750Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Early 2026 purges of senior generals, including Zhang Youxia, addressed potential factional challenges through investigations rather than exposing fractures, with official channels confirming no disruption to centralized command. No verified instability signals, public dissent, or leadership transitions have emerged since, as Xi maintains active diplomacy and party governance ahead of the 2027 congress. The narrow remaining window to December 31, 2026, further limits opportunities for rapid shifts. Remote contingencies such as an abrupt health event or unforeseen reversal in elite dynamics could theoretically alter trajectories, though current evidence shows none materializing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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