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icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?
Politik·Kolumbien

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?
Politik·Kolumbien

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

54-57% 68%

51-54% 18%

57-60% 18.0%

60%+ 17.0%

Polymarket
NEU

54-57% 68%

51-54% 18%

57-60% 18.0%

60%+ 17.0%

Polymarket
NEU

<48%

$436 Vol.

4%

48-51%

$428 Vol.

22%

51-54%

$420 Vol.

21%

54-57%

$441 Vol.

68%

57-60%

$420 Vol.

18%

60%+

$489 Vol.

17%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and voter models for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest show a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda but without any candidate approaching 50 percent support, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This dynamic, combined with Colombia's registered electorate of roughly 41.5 million, supports moderate participation levels consistent with the 55 percent turnout recorded in 2022 and the long-term first-round average near 54-57 percent. Stable campaign logistics, absence of major disruptions, and steady but not heightened mobilization across polarized bases have kept recent forecasts aligned with that band, with traders viewing these factors as the primary drivers of current consensus.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$2,634
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and voter models for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest show a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda but without any candidate approaching 50 percent support, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This dynamic, combined with Colombia's registered electorate of roughly 41.5 million, supports moderate participation levels consistent with the 55 percent turnout recorded in 2022 and the long-term first-round average near 54-57 percent. Stable campaign logistics, absence of major disruptions, and steady but not heightened mobilization across polarized bases have kept recent forecasts aligned with that band, with traders viewing these factors as the primary drivers of current consensus.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$2,634
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „54-57%" mit 68%, gefolgt von „48-51%" mit 22%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 68¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" ist „54-57%" mit 68%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „48-51%" mit 22%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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