Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including elevated core PCE and CPI prints through April, have lifted the implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase by early 2027 to around 60 percent in fed-funds futures markets. This has tempered expectations for further easing while still leaving Polymarket traders assigning a 68.5 percent chance that the federal funds target range remains unchanged or lower through the December 2026 FOMC meeting. The March Summary of Economic Projections showed a median path for one 25-basis-point cut this year, supported by a resilient labor market and moderating headline pressures, though minutes underscored data dependence. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC decision and May CPI release, which could clarify whether upside inflation risks outweigh downside growth concerns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$1,103,193 Vol.
$1,103,193 Vol.
9. Dez. 2026
Ja
$1,103,193 Vol.
$1,103,193 Vol.
9. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including elevated core PCE and CPI prints through April, have lifted the implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase by early 2027 to around 60 percent in fed-funds futures markets. This has tempered expectations for further easing while still leaving Polymarket traders assigning a 68.5 percent chance that the federal funds target range remains unchanged or lower through the December 2026 FOMC meeting. The March Summary of Economic Projections showed a median path for one 25-basis-point cut this year, supported by a resilient labor market and moderating headline pressures, though minutes underscored data dependence. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC decision and May CPI release, which could clarify whether upside inflation risks outweigh downside growth concerns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Volumen
$1,103,193Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including elevated core PCE and CPI prints through April, have lifted the implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase by early 2027 to around 60 percent in fed-funds futures markets. This has tempered expectations for further easing while still leaving Polymarket traders assigning a 68.5 percent chance that the federal funds target range remains unchanged or lower through the December 2026 FOMC meeting. The March Summary of Economic Projections showed a median path for one 25-basis-point cut this year, supported by a resilient labor market and moderating headline pressures, though minutes underscored data dependence. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC decision and May CPI release, which could clarify whether upside inflation risks outweigh downside growth concerns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,103,193Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including elevated core PCE and CPI prints through April, have lifted the implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase by early 2027 to around 60 percent in fed-funds futures markets. This has tempered expectations for further easing while still leaving Polymarket traders assigning a 68.5 percent chance that the federal funds target range remains unchanged or lower through the December 2026 FOMC meeting. The March Summary of Economic Projections showed a median path for one 25-basis-point cut this year, supported by a resilient labor market and moderating headline pressures, though minutes underscored data dependence. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC decision and May CPI release, which could clarify whether upside inflation risks outweigh downside growth concerns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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