Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year in July 2026, combined with a divided FOMC that saw three dissents favoring a hike at the July meeting, has kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% for five straight decisions while futures markets price modest tightening by year-end. Traders see balanced risks from resilient economic growth and labor market conditions offset by easing price pressures and softening hiring data. Key swing factors include the August CPI release on September 11 and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where fresh inflation and employment figures could shift the implied probability of any 2026 rate increase decisively in either direction.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$7,533,815 Vol.
$7,533,815 Vol.
Ja
$7,533,815 Vol.
$7,533,815 Vol.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year in July 2026, combined with a divided FOMC that saw three dissents favoring a hike at the July meeting, has kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% for five straight decisions while futures markets price modest tightening by year-end. Traders see balanced risks from resilient economic growth and labor market conditions offset by easing price pressures and softening hiring data. Key swing factors include the August CPI release on September 11 and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where fresh inflation and employment figures could shift the implied probability of any 2026 rate increase decisively in either direction.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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