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icon for Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Economy·BIP

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

icon for Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Economy·BIP

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Okt. 30

Okt. 30

1.0-1.2% 35%

0.7-0.9% 34%

0.4-0.6% 18.7%

1.3%+ 13%

Polymarket

$21,648 Vol.

1.0-1.2% 35%

0.7-0.9% 34%

0.4-0.6% 18.7%

1.3%+ 13%

Polymarket

$21,648 Vol.

≤0.0%

$1,082 Vol.

6%

0.1-0.3%

$1,097 Vol.

6%

0.4-0.6%

$522 Vol.

12%

0.7-0.9%

$2,905 Vol.

34%

1.0-1.2%

$13,158 Vol.

35%

1.3%+

$2,885 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth market reflects closely balanced trader sentiment, with the 0.7-0.9% and 1.0-1.2% bands each commanding roughly one-third probability. Recent data show Q2 expanding just 0.2% quarter-over-quarter—below the prior quarter’s revised 0.4% pace—driven by resilient exports offset by subdued household consumption and declining capital formation. July inflation accelerated to 2.8% year-over-year amid higher energy costs following the fuel-tax rebate expiration, while the unemployment rate rose to 6.4% and services PMI slipped below 50. These headwinds, alongside mixed manufacturing readings and softer leading indicators, create uncertainty around whether momentum will stabilize near the lower end of forecasts or rebound modestly. Key upcoming releases on industrial output, retail sales, and August PMIs could shift implied odds ahead of the Q3 print.

This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,648
Enddatum
30. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth market reflects closely balanced trader sentiment, with the 0.7-0.9% and 1.0-1.2% bands each commanding roughly one-third probability. Recent data show Q2 expanding just 0.2% quarter-over-quarter—below the prior quarter’s revised 0.4% pace—driven by resilient exports offset by subdued household consumption and declining capital formation. July inflation accelerated to 2.8% year-over-year amid higher energy costs following the fuel-tax rebate expiration, while the unemployment rate rose to 6.4% and services PMI slipped below 50. These headwinds, alongside mixed manufacturing readings and softer leading indicators, create uncertainty around whether momentum will stabilize near the lower end of forecasts or rebound modestly. Key upcoming releases on industrial output, retail sales, and August PMIs could shift implied odds ahead of the Q3 print.

This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,648
Enddatum
30. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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„Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „1.0-1.2%" mit 35%, gefolgt von „0.7-0.9%" mit 34%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 35¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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