Recent forecast models indicate a cooling trend for Ankara on September 17 driven by an incoming weather system with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds, which limit daytime solar heating and cap highs near 19–21°C. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) highlights precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% during peak heating hours, reducing surface temperatures relative to recent dry, sunnier days near 25–27°C. Close market odds among 19–22°C outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and localized convective development, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages around 23–25°C provide baseline context, but current conditions favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and observations ahead of peak afternoon temperatures will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 17. September?
20°C 28%
19°C 22%
21°C 21%
18°C 15.1%
14°C oder weniger
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
22%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
12%
23°C
5%
24°C oder höher
4%
20°C 28%
19°C 22%
21°C 21%
18°C 15.1%
14°C oder weniger
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
22%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
12%
23°C
5%
24°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate a cooling trend for Ankara on September 17 driven by an incoming weather system with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds, which limit daytime solar heating and cap highs near 19–21°C. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) highlights precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% during peak heating hours, reducing surface temperatures relative to recent dry, sunnier days near 25–27°C. Close market odds among 19–22°C outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and localized convective development, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages around 23–25°C provide baseline context, but current conditions favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and observations ahead of peak afternoon temperatures will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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