**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS currently point to an overnight minimum near 14°C for Ankara on September 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show a cooling trend, with the September 15 minimum reaching 11.1°C amid drier conditions, while typical early-fall baselines hover around 14–16°C. Trader consensus places the highest implied probability (43%) on 11°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in how much further temperatures could dip if rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if models trend cooler in the final runs. Official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) data and updated model outputs expected before resolution will clarify whether the low settles above or below the 12–14°C cluster favored by roughly 65% of remaining probability mass.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 17. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 17. September?
11°C oder weniger 86%
17°C 37%
12°C 22%
13°C 22%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
86%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
19%
16°C
21%
17°C
37%
18°C
10%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C oder höher
2%
11°C oder weniger 86%
17°C 37%
12°C 22%
13°C 22%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
86%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
37%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS currently point to an overnight minimum near 14°C for Ankara on September 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show a cooling trend, with the September 15 minimum reaching 11.1°C amid drier conditions, while typical early-fall baselines hover around 14–16°C. Trader consensus places the highest implied probability (43%) on 11°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in how much further temperatures could dip if rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if models trend cooler in the final runs. Official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) data and updated model outputs expected before resolution will clarify whether the low settles above or below the 12–14°C cluster favored by roughly 65% of remaining probability mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS currently point to an overnight minimum near 14°C for Ankara on September 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show a cooling trend, with the September 15 minimum reaching 11.1°C amid drier conditions, while typical early-fall baselines hover around 14–16°C. Trader consensus places the highest implied probability (43%) on 11°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in how much further temperatures could dip if rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if models trend cooler in the final runs. Official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) data and updated model outputs expected before resolution will clarify whether the low settles above or below the 12–14°C cluster favored by roughly 65% of remaining probability mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS currently point to an overnight minimum near 14°C for Ankara on September 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show a cooling trend, with the September 15 minimum reaching 11.1°C amid drier conditions, while typical early-fall baselines hover around 14–16°C. Trader consensus places the highest implied probability (43%) on 11°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in how much further temperatures could dip if rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if models trend cooler in the final runs. Official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) data and updated model outputs expected before resolution will clarify whether the low settles above or below the 12–14°C cluster favored by roughly 65% of remaining probability mass.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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