Persistent high pressure across Texas has driven clear skies and strong solar heating in Austin, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointing to afternoon highs of 102–103°F on August 13 amid typical mid-August southerly flow and minimal moisture. Recent observations from area stations and ongoing heat-wave conditions reinforced this range, producing market-implied odds near 100% for the 102–103°F bin as traders aligned with official guidance ahead of resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective cloud build-up or localized thunderstorms that could suppress peak temperatures, or minor discrepancies in official station readings used for final settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 13. August?
102-103°F 100.0%
91°F oder darunter <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$27,454 Vol.
$27,454 Vol.
91°F oder darunter
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Ja
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108-109°F
Nein
110°F oder höher
Nein
102-103°F 100.0%
91°F oder darunter <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$27,454 Vol.
$27,454 Vol.
91°F oder darunter
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Ja
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108-109°F
Nein
110°F oder höher
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Persistent high pressure across Texas has driven clear skies and strong solar heating in Austin, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointing to afternoon highs of 102–103°F on August 13 amid typical mid-August southerly flow and minimal moisture. Recent observations from area stations and ongoing heat-wave conditions reinforced this range, producing market-implied odds near 100% for the 102–103°F bin as traders aligned with official guidance ahead of resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective cloud build-up or localized thunderstorms that could suppress peak temperatures, or minor discrepancies in official station readings used for final settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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