**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 15. August?
102-103°F 100.0%
91°F oder niedriger <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$21,402 Vol.
$21,402 Vol.
91°F oder niedriger
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Ja
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108-109°F
Nein
110°F oder höher
Nein
102-103°F 100.0%
91°F oder niedriger <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$21,402 Vol.
$21,402 Vol.
91°F oder niedriger
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Ja
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108-109°F
Nein
110°F oder höher
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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