**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a high near 104°F in Austin on August 24, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and continued dry conditions.** This aligns with the ongoing heat wave, as highs reached 102–105°F on preceding days, including 105°F on August 23. Key scientific drivers include persistent high pressure promoting subsidence warming and clear skies for maximum solar insolation, combined with warm southerly flow and low humidity that limits evaporative cooling and overnight relief. Light winds reduce vertical mixing, allowing surface temperatures to climb efficiently during peak heating hours. Model consensus and historical late-August baselines in central Texas support the 104–105°F bin as the most probable outcome, though small forecast shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could favor the adjacent 102–103°F range. The market-implied odds closely track this guidance, with traders incorporating the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?
104-105°F 54%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 12%
100-101°F 5%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
35°C oder niedriger
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
54%
106-107°F
12%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
1%
114°F oder höher
<1%
104-105°F 54%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 12%
100-101°F 5%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
35°C oder niedriger
$51 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$90 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$117 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$219 Vol.
5%
102-103°F
$298 Vol.
30%
104-105°F
$847 Vol.
54%
106-107°F
$85 Vol.
12%
108-109°F
$46 Vol.
3%
110-111°F
$71 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$41 Vol.
1%
114°F oder höher
$24 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a high near 104°F in Austin on August 24, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and continued dry conditions.** This aligns with the ongoing heat wave, as highs reached 102–105°F on preceding days, including 105°F on August 23.
Key scientific drivers include persistent high pressure promoting subsidence warming and clear skies for maximum solar insolation, combined with warm southerly flow and low humidity that limits evaporative cooling and overnight relief. Light winds reduce vertical mixing, allowing surface temperatures to climb efficiently during peak heating hours.
Model consensus and historical late-August baselines in central Texas support the 104–105°F bin as the most probable outcome, though small forecast shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could favor the adjacent 102–103°F range. The market-implied odds closely track this guidance, with traders incorporating the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$1,890Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a high near 104°F in Austin on August 24, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and continued dry conditions.** This aligns with the ongoing heat wave, as highs reached 102–105°F on preceding days, including 105°F on August 23.
Key scientific drivers include persistent high pressure promoting subsidence warming and clear skies for maximum solar insolation, combined with warm southerly flow and low humidity that limits evaporative cooling and overnight relief. Light winds reduce vertical mixing, allowing surface temperatures to climb efficiently during peak heating hours.
Model consensus and historical late-August baselines in central Texas support the 104–105°F bin as the most probable outcome, though small forecast shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could favor the adjacent 102–103°F range. The market-implied odds closely track this guidance, with traders incorporating the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,890Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a high near 104°F in Austin on August 24, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and continued dry conditions.** This aligns with the ongoing heat wave, as highs reached 102–105°F on preceding days, including 105°F on August 23. Key scientific drivers include persistent high pressure promoting subsidence warming and clear skies for maximum solar insolation, combined with warm southerly flow and low humidity that limits evaporative cooling and overnight relief. Light winds reduce vertical mixing, allowing surface temperatures to climb efficiently during peak heating hours. Model consensus and historical late-August baselines in central Texas support the 104–105°F bin as the most probable outcome, though small forecast shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could favor the adjacent 102–103°F range. The market-implied odds closely track this guidance, with traders incorporating the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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