Official observations from the London City Airport meteorological station, corroborated by Met Office data at nearby Heathrow and St James's Park sites, confirm a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 22, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a cooler northerly airflow—following the early April heatwave that peaked above 26°C—suppressed temperatures in line with pre-event Met Office and BBC Weather model consensus forecasting highs of 15–17°C amid waning high pressure. While measurement protocols at screened thermometers ensure reliability, rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments are minimal for daily maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in London on April 22?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$310,111 Vol.
$310,111 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$310,111 Vol.
$310,111 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from the London City Airport meteorological station, corroborated by Met Office data at nearby Heathrow and St James's Park sites, confirm a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 22, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a cooler northerly airflow—following the early April heatwave that peaked above 26°C—suppressed temperatures in line with pre-event Met Office and BBC Weather model consensus forecasting highs of 15–17°C amid waning high pressure. While measurement protocols at screened thermometers ensure reliability, rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments are minimal for daily maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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