Current atmospheric conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, featuring a strengthening high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, are supporting elevated daytime heating in Tel Aviv on May 17, aligning with the 73 percent market-implied probability for a high of 35°C or above. Official monitoring data indicate mostly clear skies and strong insolation typical of late-spring patterns, where average May highs reach about 28°C yet can exceed 34°C under stable anticyclonic setups. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies shows limited cooling from sea breezes until evening, with the daily maximum likely occurring in the mid-afternoon window. Fresh observational readings from ground stations will finalize the outcome, as traders assess any late adjustments in wind or cloud development.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 17. Mai?
35°C or higher 73%
34°C 22%
33°C 7.5%
32°C <1%
$30,418 Vol.
$30,418 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
22%
35°C or higher
73%
35°C or higher 73%
34°C 22%
33°C 7.5%
32°C <1%
$30,418 Vol.
$30,418 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
22%
35°C or higher
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current atmospheric conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, featuring a strengthening high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, are supporting elevated daytime heating in Tel Aviv on May 17, aligning with the 73 percent market-implied probability for a high of 35°C or above. Official monitoring data indicate mostly clear skies and strong insolation typical of late-spring patterns, where average May highs reach about 28°C yet can exceed 34°C under stable anticyclonic setups. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies shows limited cooling from sea breezes until evening, with the daily maximum likely occurring in the mid-afternoon window. Fresh observational readings from ground stations will finalize the outcome, as traders assess any late adjustments in wind or cloud development.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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