Trader consensus centers on the 80-81°F bin for the official KLAX station high on August 11 because preliminary observations and model verification aligned precisely with that narrow range under typical late-summer marine-layer influence. This coastal moderation kept maxima below the seasonal 84–85°F average despite clear skies and light onshore flow, consistent with National Weather Service station records and climatological norms for early August. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects verified data rather than forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require a post-resolution revision to the official reading, such as a station-specific measurement adjustment or unreported microclimate variation exceeding the narrow bin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 11. August?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F oder niedriger <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$63,524 Vol.
$63,524 Vol.
69°F oder niedriger
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Ja
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88°F oder höher
Nein
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F oder niedriger <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$63,524 Vol.
$63,524 Vol.
69°F oder niedriger
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Ja
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88°F oder höher
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Trader consensus centers on the 80-81°F bin for the official KLAX station high on August 11 because preliminary observations and model verification aligned precisely with that narrow range under typical late-summer marine-layer influence. This coastal moderation kept maxima below the seasonal 84–85°F average despite clear skies and light onshore flow, consistent with National Weather Service station records and climatological norms for early August. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects verified data rather than forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require a post-resolution revision to the official reading, such as a station-specific measurement adjustment or unreported microclimate variation exceeding the narrow bin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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