**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 16. September?
33°C oder mehr 100.0%
23°C oder darunter <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$31,516 Vol.
$31,516 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
23°C oder darunter
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder mehr
Ja
33°C oder mehr 100.0%
23°C oder darunter <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$31,516 Vol.
$31,516 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
23°C oder darunter
$1,294 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$294 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$990 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$356 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$145 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$372 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$2,427 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$2,531 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$1,956 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$13,357 Vol.
Nein
33°C oder mehr
$7,794 Vol.
Ja
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$31,516Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31,516Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen