Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high-pressure system building over northern Italy, promoting clearer skies and reduced cloud cover by September 19 after cooler, rainy conditions on the 17th and 18th. This setup favors daytime solar heating with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting daily maximum temperatures centered around 25–26°C. Historical September averages for Milan hover near 24°C, and the current model consensus aligns closely with these values while noting typical uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C from ensemble spreads. Trader positioning reflects this data, with the highest implied probabilities clustered on outcomes matching the latest guidance ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 19. September?
26°C 44%
27°C 40%
28°C 38%
25°C 36%
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
24%
25°C
30%
26°C
44%
27°C
40%
28°C
38%
29°C oder höher
7%
26°C 44%
27°C 40%
28°C 38%
25°C 36%
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
24%
25°C
30%
26°C
44%
27°C
40%
28°C
38%
29°C oder höher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high-pressure system building over northern Italy, promoting clearer skies and reduced cloud cover by September 19 after cooler, rainy conditions on the 17th and 18th. This setup favors daytime solar heating with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting daily maximum temperatures centered around 25–26°C. Historical September averages for Milan hover near 24°C, and the current model consensus aligns closely with these values while noting typical uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C from ensemble spreads. Trader positioning reflects this data, with the highest implied probabilities clustered on outcomes matching the latest guidance ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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