Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum of 36°C for Lucknow on September 21 under mainly clear skies with light northerly winds and negligible rainfall, following observed highs of 34–35°C on the prior three days. Post-monsoon subsidence has reduced cloud cover and humidity, allowing greater solar heating during peak afternoon hours on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant temperature scale, while climatological September averages near 33°C provide baseline context. Model consensus across sources shows limited spread, though slight variations in steering patterns or residual moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates and historical analogs heavily when pricing the 34°C outcome as the clear leader.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 21. September?
34°C 56%
33°C 34%
35°C 8%
32°C 3%
29°C oder darunter
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
34%
34°C
56%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
34°C 56%
33°C 34%
35°C 8%
32°C 3%
29°C oder darunter
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
34%
34°C
56%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum of 36°C for Lucknow on September 21 under mainly clear skies with light northerly winds and negligible rainfall, following observed highs of 34–35°C on the prior three days. Post-monsoon subsidence has reduced cloud cover and humidity, allowing greater solar heating during peak afternoon hours on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant temperature scale, while climatological September averages near 33°C provide baseline context. Model consensus across sources shows limited spread, though slight variations in steering patterns or residual moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates and historical analogs heavily when pricing the 34°C outcome as the clear leader.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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