Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate a maximum temperature near 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22 under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s strong 60% implied probability for exactly 34°C. This positioning reflects typical late-monsoon conditions where high humidity and scattered convection often limit daytime heating below peak September climatology of 33°C. Recent observations show daily maxima stabilizing around 34–35°C amid weakening monsoon flow, while model consensus and low rain probabilities support the 25% odds on 33°C and modest 12.5% on 35°C. Updated IMD guidance and local observations ahead of the 22nd will provide the next key resolution signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 22. September?
34°C 60%
33°C 31%
35°C 10%
36°C 5%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
28°C oder weniger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
31%
34°C
60%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
34°C 60%
33°C 31%
35°C 10%
36°C 5%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
28°C oder weniger
$111 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$27 Vol.
2%
32°C
$236 Vol.
3%
33°C
$736 Vol.
31%
34°C
$1,683 Vol.
60%
35°C
$294 Vol.
10%
36°C
$220 Vol.
5%
37°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
38°C oder höher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate a maximum temperature near 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22 under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s strong 60% implied probability for exactly 34°C. This positioning reflects typical late-monsoon conditions where high humidity and scattered convection often limit daytime heating below peak September climatology of 33°C. Recent observations show daily maxima stabilizing around 34–35°C amid weakening monsoon flow, while model consensus and low rain probabilities support the 25% odds on 33°C and modest 12.5% on 35°C. Updated IMD guidance and local observations ahead of the 22nd will provide the next key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,645Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate a maximum temperature near 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22 under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s strong 60% implied probability for exactly 34°C. This positioning reflects typical late-monsoon conditions where high humidity and scattered convection often limit daytime heating below peak September climatology of 33°C. Recent observations show daily maxima stabilizing around 34–35°C amid weakening monsoon flow, while model consensus and low rain probabilities support the 25% odds on 33°C and modest 12.5% on 35°C. Updated IMD guidance and local observations ahead of the 22nd will provide the next key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,645Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate a maximum temperature near 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22 under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s strong 60% implied probability for exactly 34°C. This positioning reflects typical late-monsoon conditions where high humidity and scattered convection often limit daytime heating below peak September climatology of 33°C. Recent observations show daily maxima stabilizing around 34–35°C amid weakening monsoon flow, while model consensus and low rain probabilities support the 25% odds on 33°C and modest 12.5% on 35°C. Updated IMD guidance and local observations ahead of the 22nd will provide the next key resolution signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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