Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80–90% rain chances that limit solar heating and cap peaks. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (44.5% implied probability) over 30°C, as persistent cloud cover and showers—typical of August’s wet-season climatology—often suppress maxima 1–2°C below the 31°C historical average. Model guidance shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and weak steering winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent runs and morning observations on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift sentiment toward the 28–30°C cluster.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 6. August?
29°C 44%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 5%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
44%
30°C
28%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
29°C 44%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 5%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
25°C oder darunter
$226 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Vol.
3%
28°C
$194 Vol.
18%
29°C
$2,030 Vol.
44%
30°C
$582 Vol.
28%
31°C
$307 Vol.
5%
32°C
$116 Vol.
1%
33°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
35°C oder höher
$109 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80–90% rain chances that limit solar heating and cap peaks. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (44.5% implied probability) over 30°C, as persistent cloud cover and showers—typical of August’s wet-season climatology—often suppress maxima 1–2°C below the 31°C historical average. Model guidance shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and weak steering winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent runs and morning observations on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift sentiment toward the 28–30°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$4,300Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80–90% rain chances that limit solar heating and cap peaks. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (44.5% implied probability) over 30°C, as persistent cloud cover and showers—typical of August’s wet-season climatology—often suppress maxima 1–2°C below the 31°C historical average. Model guidance shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and weak steering winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent runs and morning observations on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift sentiment toward the 28–30°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,300Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80–90% rain chances that limit solar heating and cap peaks. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (44.5% implied probability) over 30°C, as persistent cloud cover and showers—typical of August’s wet-season climatology—often suppress maxima 1–2°C below the 31°C historical average. Model guidance shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and weak steering winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent runs and morning observations on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift sentiment toward the 28–30°C cluster.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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