Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Manila on May 18, positioning 33–35°C as the leading implied probabilities by moderating peak solar heating during the seasonal dry-period maximum. Historical May averages hover near 33–34°C, yet localized convective cooling and variable humidity frequently cap extremes below 36°C, consistent with recent daily observations showing highs at or just above the mean. Traders weigh these atmospheric dynamics against the risk of clearer skies allowing a brief surge, though model consensus favors the central range ahead of the final official station reading tomorrow evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 18. Mai?
34°C 38%
33°C 26%
35°C 18%
36°C 8.2%
29°C oder niedriger
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
26%
34°C
38%
35°C
18%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
34°C 38%
33°C 26%
35°C 18%
36°C 8.2%
29°C oder niedriger
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
26%
34°C
38%
35°C
18%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLRecent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Manila on May 18, positioning 33–35°C as the leading implied probabilities by moderating peak solar heating during the seasonal dry-period maximum. Historical May averages hover near 33–34°C, yet localized convective cooling and variable humidity frequently cap extremes below 36°C, consistent with recent daily observations showing highs at or just above the mean. Traders weigh these atmospheric dynamics against the risk of clearer skies allowing a brief surge, though model consensus favors the central range ahead of the final official station reading tomorrow evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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