Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters above sea level moderates peak temperatures even during the August rainy season, when typical daytime highs average near 24°C amid frequent afternoon convection. Trader consensus favoring 25–26°C reflects recent model runs showing partly cloudy skies with limited thunderstorm development on the 13th, allowing stronger solar heating before any showers arrive. Key variables separating these outcomes include precise cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island enhancement in the central valley, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and updated numerical guidance expected later in the day will likely refine these narrow probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 13. August?
26°C 40%
25°C 39%
24°C 16%
27°C 9%
$12,271 Vol.
$12,271 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
39%
26°C
40%
27°C
9%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 39%
24°C 16%
27°C 9%
$12,271 Vol.
$12,271 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
39%
26°C
40%
27°C
9%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters above sea level moderates peak temperatures even during the August rainy season, when typical daytime highs average near 24°C amid frequent afternoon convection. Trader consensus favoring 25–26°C reflects recent model runs showing partly cloudy skies with limited thunderstorm development on the 13th, allowing stronger solar heating before any showers arrive. Key variables separating these outcomes include precise cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island enhancement in the central valley, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and updated numerical guidance expected later in the day will likely refine these narrow probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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