**Mexico City's elevation of roughly 2,240 meters above sea level moderates summer temperatures, keeping August daily maxima typically between 22–26°C even during the rainy season.** Current forecasts for August 13, 2026, from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project a high near 24–26°C (76–79°F) under partly cloudy skies with late-day showers, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (46%) and 26°C (28.5%). Afternoon convection and cloud cover in Mexico's central plateau frequently cap peak readings by limiting solar heating, which explains why 24°C retains solid 18.5% support while outcomes above 27°C remain marginal. Recent model consensus shows no significant heat anomaly or dry spell shifting the distribution, so trader probabilities closely track the narrow historical and forecast envelope around the seasonal average. Updated NHC or local meteorological service briefings on morning conditions or precipitation timing could still nudge the tight 25–26°C contest before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 13. August?
25°C 45%
26°C 29%
24°C 17%
27°C 7%
$11,194 Vol.
$11,194 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
17%
25°C
45%
26°C
29%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 45%
26°C 29%
24°C 17%
27°C 7%
$11,194 Vol.
$11,194 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
17%
25°C
45%
26°C
29%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mexico City's elevation of roughly 2,240 meters above sea level moderates summer temperatures, keeping August daily maxima typically between 22–26°C even during the rainy season.** Current forecasts for August 13, 2026, from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project a high near 24–26°C (76–79°F) under partly cloudy skies with late-day showers, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (46%) and 26°C (28.5%). Afternoon convection and cloud cover in Mexico's central plateau frequently cap peak readings by limiting solar heating, which explains why 24°C retains solid 18.5% support while outcomes above 27°C remain marginal. Recent model consensus shows no significant heat anomaly or dry spell shifting the distribution, so trader probabilities closely track the narrow historical and forecast envelope around the seasonal average. Updated NHC or local meteorological service briefings on morning conditions or precipitation timing could still nudge the tight 25–26°C contest before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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