Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport Station on May 17, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts afternoon heating. These conditions position the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 44%, with 15°C and 17°C as the nearest alternatives reflecting uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh this against typical mid-May climatology, where highs often reach 17–19°C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns favor the cooler range. Updated model runs and official observations from the National Meteorological Service will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 17. Mai?
16°C 43%
15°C 35%
17°C 18%
18°C 2.6%
$19,617 Vol.
$19,617 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
35%
16°C
43%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 43%
15°C 35%
17°C 18%
18°C 2.6%
$19,617 Vol.
$19,617 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
35%
16°C
43%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMCurrent forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport Station on May 17, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts afternoon heating. These conditions position the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 44%, with 15°C and 17°C as the nearest alternatives reflecting uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh this against typical mid-May climatology, where highs often reach 17–19°C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns favor the cooler range. Updated model runs and official observations from the National Meteorological Service will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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